919cane
Sophomore
- Joined
- Oct 7, 2014
- Messages
- 2,308
LOL noYou really going to trust Manny Diaz to beat the spread?
LOL noYou really going to trust Manny Diaz to beat the spread?
Yes, but I wouldn't bet the farm.Ok, take off the orange and green glasses. I’ll leave it at that.
You taking the points? If so, kindly give a short breakdown as to why (and don’t just O/G glasses me and tell me how canes roll).
I haven’t bet it, but 18 seems like a lot with the Bama returning production being such an issue.
it opened around -17, but Circa opened -13.5 and it immediately got hit hard and moved to around -17. My guess is there’s lots of pros trying to middle that 14-17.
IDK, to me, 18 is a lot. I don’t wear the glasses. Bama has a new QB, OC, and basically all skill players. Yes, they are nasty athletes, but 18 is a lot IMO.
thoughts? Respectfully request that any response has an opinion to support the conclusion.
That's now how Alabama plays football anymore. If Miami is unable to defend the run with a 7-man box and 2-deep shell Diaz will go single-high with 8 in the box like what happened against UNC when Dyami Brown roasted Ivey. Like UNC, Bama will go to the pass game and attack matchups either with 9-routes or deep crossers.You question the kids ability to hand the ball off? Alabama is going to have no reason to pass. They will run behind their tackles all day long while our DEs over pursue every play. The question to me is do we feel like our LBs can handle a bruising NFL RB with TEs in play.
I don’t bet against the U
but Saban has never lost a neutral site opener and his average margin of victory is 20.5 in those games. I’m not betting it, but if you are …
Did you have some point or is this how you pulled off 10K messages in 3 years?
Talent wins not experience....if u bring back questionable experience on both lines u in trouble. They basically have a pup at LT that would of been a top ten pick last year as a fresh. Don't see how we create pressure and cover their guys on defense. I know that bama D is always loaded next man up. They are basically the 01 canes type of team but never lost the HC.I'd take Miami +18. We really going to close 39-20? Or some ish. This feels like a 34-24 Bama win that is more of a feel out game. Tons of turnover for Bama will slow them down a bit vs our experience.
Free money, literally. Can always come back on the other side for a middle opp.I already hit that Bama -13.5 Circa line. I’m not touching the Miami side unless it’s bet up to +21.
Talent wins not experience....if u bring back questionable experience on both lines u in trouble. They basically have a pup at LT that would of been a top ten pick last year as a fresh. Don't see how we create pressure and cover their guys on defense. I know that bama D is always loaded next man up. They are basically the 01 canes type of team but never lost the HC.
I think bama will make mistakes but the OL will give enough time to their qb that he will come into his own that game. It will be like the LSU game imo but LSU not being better prepared then bama.Experience matters a ton as well. Young players make mistakes, no matter how talented they are.
And in today’s game mistakes cost teams wins.
I’ll tell you though…I already hit that Bama -13.5 Circa line. I’m not touching the Miami side unless it’s bet up to +21.
This isnt directed at you btw....but it says no sportsbook is going to jump out the window with a huge line on a QB they havent seen play in live action yet outside of very little mop up duty. (Bryce Young). Of course bookies want to make the line +28 based on what they have seen from us the last 2 times we played teams in the top 15. (Clemson and UNC) But that is a huge risk as well.I’ll tell you though…
Other books had already opened at -17ish. Circa originates their own lines, and they are **** good at it.
them opening at -13.5 says something to me.
All of these teams were much worse than expected. There might be one quality team on that list.
That's now how Alabama plays football anymore. If Miami is unable to defend the run with a 7-man box and 2-deep shell Diaz will go single-high with 8 in the box like what happened against UNC when Dyami Brown roasted Ivey. Like UNC, Bama will go to the pass game and attack matchups either with 9-routes or deep crossers.
For context Robinson has run for 5ypc on average over 4 years at Bama. Trey Sanders was at 4.5ypc last year. Roydell Williams was 3.7ypc. Najee Harris the last 3 years: 5.8, 5.9, 6.7. Bama's RBs are every bit as unproven as Miami's front.