kryptonite
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- Dec 13, 2012
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Here's the problem with the stats Brock posting and saying Walton is going for 1,400 yards.....
1) 55 of Walton's 98 yards came in the one run late in the Pitt game when he, shocker, started the run by running into his own Offensive Lineman.
2) Against P5 Teams - Walton's first 15 games he averaged 3.11 yds rush with 6 TD's. In his last 2 P5 games he averaged 3.7 ypc.
So the argument for Walton is to ignore 17 of those games and judge him on 3 of them?
Walton has averaged 3.5 ypc in 16 of the 26 games he's played in. There's no chance....0%....that he will rush for 1.400 yards this year. Zero.
You conveniently didn't mention his 120 yards 2 tds vs ncstate who had the best rushing defense we played against last year ranked in the top 5 in the country. Also had mark waltons td vs fsu not been called back he woud have even better numbers. He will be leaned on even more this year with yearby and Edwards gone
Mark Walton played a great game against NC St. He actually had 3 TD's in that game. The 24 yd TD run in that game was IMO his most impressive run ever. I would 100% be on board with Walton if I thought that's how he could consistently play. But I've seen too many games to know that game was an outlier.
Here's his YPC vs Power 5 games in his career:
3.6+ YPC - Pitt, NC St., UVA, UVA, Duke, Duke (6 Games. He averaged over 5.0 ypc in 4 of them)
3.5 or less YPC - Nebraska, FSU, FSU, VT, VT, Clemson, UNC, UNC, GT, GT, Pitt, Wash St., ND, WVU (14 Games. He averaged under 3.0 ypc in 7 of them)
What I don't understand is - Why you would only concentrate on his 2 good games against good teams (Pitt & NC St.) and ignore the 14 other ones? Why would you point out the 1 run called back against FSU or 1 run called back against Nebraska and ignore the 200+ runs that weren't called back?
Here's the list of Miami RB's ever to have 1,400 yd seasons - McGahee, Edge, Duke
Do you really think Mark Walton is going to join that list?
TBH, it's not inconceivable. My guess is that Brock's adding in the ACCCG, and I don't think we had 12 regular-season games when McGahee and Edge played. So Walton will have more games to get there. And we really need him to average 100 ypgs this year to take pressure off the QB. I'm sure Richt is hoping he can be more balanced this year, and will give him the load if he can handle it.
I'm with you that Walton has bad vision. On the other hand, he HAS had a lot of big plays called back, much more than typical, and I believe all of them were either phantom penalties or not meaningful to his runs. If you added those in, his ypc's would look a lot better. Plus, he really did improve year-on-year between 2015 and 2016, as well as in-season last year during 2016. That's unusual for a feature back. So there's hope there he'll take one final step.
2016 - There were 70 players had 1,000 yds rushing. Walton's 5.34 ypc ranked 49th out of 70. He had just an average ypc, not a good one.
2015 - Of the Top 250 players in rushing yds, Walton's 3.49 ypc ranked 242nd out of 250. His 2016 ypc improvement was a jump from god awful to average.
I could roll out stat after stat after stat after stat about Walton. No one's going to pay attention. People would rather believe the bad OL, bad play calling, he has a ton of plays called back excuses. It is what it is.
But let's just look at the called back FSU run, which people always seem to want to use as an example of Walton's best run, and then I'll stfu on Walton (at least until the season starts).
Yes - the run would've improved his ypc. Yes - he showed incredible balance on this run.
But Yes - Walton, running at full speed, gets yanked to the ground with one hand by Ermon Lane. That should not happen, especially on one of your "best" runs. And that's why Walton is just an average RB.
[video]https://j.gifs.com/3lPMMr.gif[/video]
Walton isn't elite, but neither is he average. 1000yds rushing is well above average.