He has a few guys every year that he goes all in on and is ultimately wrong. Henderson and McFarland last year are a great example. He's not perfect.
Those guys changed their minds. McFarland's change of heart was pretty public. That's why even the most plugged in guy won't bat 1.000.
As for Nesta, it makes too much sense for him to stay. The depth chart is wide open, he has the closest relationship with Kool and his mom wants him here. He may have some fun, but I'd be shocked if he didn't end up here.
There is nothing to say these kids won't change their mind either. Pete isn't perfect. He goes by what he's told. I distinctly remember him making a prediction the moment before Alex Collins announced on TV that he would be a Cane. What happens? He put on that **** Razorback hat. His mother famously didn't know or want him to go! That's just my point. Pete goes all in on kids and assures the masses that it won't happen when he himself will admit he doesn't know for sure and he can only go by his sources. Sources lie or are lied to. Sources change how close they are to a situation. I don't mind it but I can tell it gasses up the site and when there is a let down, well... we all know how that goes. It's just the business of recruiting.
Look, you are fundamentally ******** up the comparison.
If Pete has information that Alex Collins is going to pick UM, and then the kid makes his own crazy decision without telling anyone, that is the kind of unknown that you can't prepare for.
THAT IS FUNDAMENTALLY DIFFERENT than what we are talking about here. Yes, Pete may have information that Nesta or Campbell is going to choose Miami, but we are not talking about the kid's ULTIMATE DECISION, we are talking about a DIFFERENT INSIDER FROM ANOTHER SCHOOL claiming to have information that is better (and different) than Pete's info.
Again, I don't understand why people are comparing apples to oranges.
Nobody says that ANY writer will be 100% correct in the FINAL DECISIONS that kids make.
What we ARE comparing, though, is whether Pete's information is legitimate, and whether other writers are just making sh!ite up and then claiming nebulous sources and whatnot.
I don't care if Pete is 100%. He doesn't seem to make "guarantees" when he DOESN'T KNOW.
But I sure as **** don't see many on this board coming here to criticize "other writers" when they are wrong in their predictions, like they do to Pete.