It is, actually, the leading indicator When it comes to human behavior and performance. It’s not a perfect indicator, but it’s by far the best one. You and some fans just wish It wasn’t based on our recent history…and this isn’t the stock market. an example is bama, Clemson, ou, and osu almost always managing to win their conference despite all the coaching and player turnover in cfb. Eventually things might change but when looking at a 7-8 year pattern, you Cant possibly argue that it doesnt hold up.