With all due respect Pete, unless you saw his grades and test scores etc, and know exactly what admissions want from the kid to qualify, all you know is hearsay and second hand information. Most of this is confidential. Also, there is the factor of AG seeking some waivers for a kid or two in the class who he thinks is a must get.
Will he qualify?
Highly doubt it
Bottom line is, nobody knows but AG, the kid and his family and maybe his HC.