Gamblers- Week 5

I gotta say Pats -6.5 is very nice but I don't think I'll bet against the phins.
I will never bet the Pats again. I would have paid off my mortgage if the Pats had just won vs Detroit last weekend - not covered, just won! And they go out and put up that god awful disgrace of a performance. I've long hated the Pats, but I would often bet on them.... now, they are officially dead to me.
 
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i think duke and vtech is a trap...their qb is out and they loss one of their best defensive players...the is line is only -5 duke seems a lil suspect but i always wait until day of game to place bet

I'm thinking with the QB it's probably VT -5. So that's a big jump back the other way. Bud Foster tends to figure things out defensively and I don't expect them to get their doors blown off again the way they did against ODU. Duke will probably win because of VT losing their QB but I would not be surprised if that game is close.
 
Penn state ML- state college will be rocking
Tennessee +31- just can’t see Tennessee losing by more than 31 against Georgia, or they’ll run pruit outta town after this season
 
Do any of you bet reverses? (If-then bets) If you're into parlays, take a look at reverses. It limits exposure, but still amplifies upside like a parlay.
 
I have never full read up on what that kind of play means.
I was told reverses are big in Baltimore. They work like this (I'll keep it simple for a 2 game reverse, they get complex for 3 or more teams): say you want to bet Dolphins +6.5 and Jets +7.5, you could parlay the two and bet $100. But if either the Dolphins or the Jets don't cover, you lose $100. You could bet $110 to win $100 on each (assuming -110 juice). With a reverse, you are in essence betting $110 to win $100 on each game. If both the Dolphins and Jets cover, you will win $400 and get back $620 ($400 profit plus $220 you risk). If just one of the two games win, you will lose $120 ($110 on, say, the Jets not covering and an additional $10). Only if both teams lose will you lose $220. There's not much of a loss, just juice if you go 1-1.

If you hit both legs of the reverse, you win $400 profit instead of $260 on a 2-team parlay. Granted, I somewhat misspoke above about limiting downside because you really, really don't want to go 0-2 on a reverse. But if you're confident about winning one of your 2 games, I think a reverse is better because you're losing practically the same money as a parlay if you hit one of the two games, but your upside is much higher.
 
I was told reverses are big in Baltimore. They work like this (I'll keep it simple for a 2 game reverse, they get complex for 3 or more teams): say you want to bet Dolphins +6.5 and Jets +7.5, you could parlay the two and bet $100. But if either the Dolphins or the Jets don't cover, you lose $100. You could bet $110 to win $100 on each (assuming -110 juice). With a reverse, you are in essence betting $110 to win $100 on each game. If both the Dolphins and Jets cover, you will win $400 and get back $620 ($400 profit plus $220 you risk). If just one of the two games win, you will lose $120 ($110 on, say, the Jets not covering and an additional $10). Only if both teams lose will you lose $220. There's not much of a loss, just juice if you go 1-1.

If you hit both legs of the reverse, you win $400 profit instead of $260 on a 2-team parlay. Granted, I somewhat misspoke above about limiting downside because you really, really don't want to go 0-2 on a reverse. But if you're confident about winning one of your 2 games, I think a reverse is better because you're losing practically the same money as a parlay if you hit one of the two games, but your upside is much higher.
Very well explained. I googled it a bit ago and after reading two explanations i still didnt fully get it. Lol appreciate the breakdown, man.

The articles were saying a reverse is basically an If bet boxed (horse racing term, which i get). Can you break down the above example on how the same bets would play out on just an If bet and not a reverse? I think i get it but want to make sure. Thanks again!
 
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Very well explained. I googled it a bit ago and after reading two explanations i still didnt fully get it. Lol appreciate the breakdown, man.

The articles were saying a reverse is basically an If bet boxed (horse racing term, which i get). Can you break down the above example on how the same bets would play out on just an If bet and not a reverse? I think i get it but want to make sure. Thanks again!
Wait a sec... i think what you described above may have just been the single If bet and not the 'boxed' reverse, right? The reverse would be BOTH an if jets then phins, and an if phins then jets. So you could win huge but could also lose 4x the single bet.

Or im just confused as **** at this point. Lol
 
Wait a sec... i think what you described above may have just been the single If bet and not the 'boxed' reverse, right? The reverse would be BOTH an if jets then phins, and an if phins then jets. So you could win huge but could also lose 4x the single bet.

Or im just confused as **** at this point. Lol
Not sure what a "boxed" reverse is, but that may be the same as an "action" reverse. These are all IF bets, but I'm only familiar with the basic, vanilla reverse. In your example of a boxed reverse, it's definitely amplifying potential losses to 4x rather than 2x (and likewise gains are amplified), but that's rather risky.

Reverses are better than parlays if you really have a strong conviction on one of the two games and don't think you're going 0-2.
 
Not sure what a "boxed" reverse is, but that may be the same as an "action" reverse. These are all IF bets, but I'm only familiar with the basic, vanilla reverse. In your example of a boxed reverse, it's definitely amplifying potential losses to 4x rather than 2x (and likewise gains are amplified), but that's rather risky.

Reverses are better than parlays if you really have a strong conviction on one of the two games and don't think you're going 0-2.
Gotcha
 
Haven't had a chance to look at lines this week but I just locked in:

6.5 pt teaser:
Rams -.5 vs MIN
Canes -11 vs UNC
Was going to tail this pick but had to cook before the game and totally forgot to put down any picks.

But I doubled back and caught NC +3.5 3Q, and NC < 20 yards on first drive after halftime. Drunk betting worked lol
 
Was going to tail this pick but had to cook before the game and totally forgot to put down any picks.

But I doubled back and caught NC +3.5 3Q, and NC < 20 yards on first drive after halftime. Drunk betting worked lol
Lol Nice drunk hits, man!

Ive talked myself into teasing memphis and ucf. Bought it to 8 and 7 respectively.
 
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Lost both my bets last night. Hopefully mince back today. Is there somewhere I can see where the public vs sharp money is going on a game?
The way the line has moved will tell you. Those percentages some sites report of %s bet on each side are all bogus.
 
The way the line has moved will tell you. Those percentages some sites report of %s bet on each side are all bogus.

Just heard on ESPN radio that 65% of the money is on Raiders even though overall tickets are on Browns. I was curious how they had that info. Also said sharps are in cowboys, Clemson, Pitt
 
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