- Joined
- Dec 22, 2011
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- 42,906
i think two things are true
1. the dolphins got a great deal out of the niners
2. the dolphins paid a steep price to move back up 6 spots
i don't think they actually could have gotten more for the no. 3 pick than they did from the niners -- if you look back at the trades for sam darnold and carson wentz, the dolphins did really well. the colts didn't even get a first for darnold (which was the no. 3 pick), the browns got a first, second, third and fourth for wentz and that was for the no. 2 pick. the dolphins getting two firsts and a third is a really good trade based on these metrics.
the trade back up wasn't great though. trading a future first to move up 6 spots isn't unprecedented but it isn't great value. we don't need to lie to ourselves about that.
in the end the dolphins will get a high level pass catcher in the door w/ tua this season, which clearly they want to do, while picking up a few extra picks for moving down three slots. i think the front office would argue that getting tua an extra year w/ chase, smith or pitts was more valuable than an extra 2022 first round pick. i'm not sure i agree but we'll see how it plays out.
overall i think they downgraded themselves from making a great trade to a pretty good series of moves.
See, this analysis is much closer to the truth. I'm only skeptical on the 49ers trade (on its own) because of not knowing the value of the future 1s. But, sure, the 49ers trade, on its own, could have been monumental (depending on the 49ers record the next 2 years).
But the Eagles trade was ridiculous.
And the combo platter is not great. #3 overall has tremendous value, even if the Dolphins have swallowed Tua's goo and are not going to pick a QB.