HurricaneVision
Staff Writer
- Joined
- Nov 16, 2012
- Messages
- 943
Caution: This study was based on extremely flawed data. High school stats are inflated by coaches, competition, and style of play. A kid playing 3A ball in MO isn't the same as what Allison played in Florida, for example.
I did an analytics study of high school QB's last year and I did not find a single QB who went on to have FBS success with as poor of numbers as Allison had in high school.
At the conclusion of the study I thought Allison wouldn't play here because I stay away from outliers. I liked what I saw on tape from the kid, but to believe in him meant believing in a unicorn. Outliers do exist, but you don't get rich relying on them.
The stats for Artur have me worried as well, but he's got a chance to turn it around this season.
Basically, my eyes liked Allison, but my numbers were where my head should've stayed.
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I did an analytics study of high school QB's last year and I did not find a single QB who went on to have FBS success with as poor of numbers as Allison had in high school.
At the conclusion of the study I thought Allison wouldn't play here because I stay away from outliers. I liked what I saw on tape from the kid, but to believe in him meant believing in a unicorn. Outliers do exist, but you don't get rich relying on them.
The stats for Artur have me worried as well, but he's got a chance to turn it around this season.
Basically, my eyes liked Allison, but my numbers were where my head should've stayed.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk