Putting an exact win total is irrelevant.
We're the most talented team in the ACC Coastal so start there. We SHOULD win the division and assuming we weren't devastated by injuries, if that doesn't happen then it was because our coaches didn't have the players playing up to their abilities and they should be fired.
Next is that we probably end up playing against Clemson in the ACC Championship game. We can't get blown out right out of the gate like last time where it didn't even look like it was close. If we end up losing big, but most of it comes late as we can't keep up with their depth etc, I'll take that so putting an exact number that we can't lose by still requires additional context.
Then we have the bowl game which will probably be against someone pretty good, just not Clemson good. There is a ton of prep time before that bowl game so if we come out looking flat like we seem to always do, then again it's a pretty big indictment on the coaching staff. If we lose a close game? Whatever. It happens, but make it a good game where you can see the effort and execution.
Anything less than this and the heat goes right back onto the coaching staff.