I'll be the antagonist here. Through last week, Notre Dame did have the better resume. Was it close enough to where head to head should outweigh it? Obviously the committee didn't think so. But again, these are numbers from LAST WEEK, per Adam McClintock on Twitter, who I have mentioned several times on here as being the best I've ever seen at modeling the committee's rankings. He's been very, very good at it for over a decade. He is adamant that there is no "eye test", it's almost entirely data driven. And again, here are HIS NUMBERS....I have no idea what the committee uses, since so much of this is subjective. I don't think there's a definite "strength of schedule" metric, for example. Depending where you look, they're different. But again, here were his numbers, for last week:
SOS for Miami: 58
SOS for ND: 44
GC for Miami: 19.3
GC for ND: 24.0
Quality wins (I believe he defines this as teams over .500) for Miami: 3
Quality wins for ND: 5
Top 25 wins for Miami: 1
Top 25 wins for ND: 1
So, again, IF THESE ARE THE NUMBERS THEY'RE LOOKING AT, it makes sense to have ND ahead. The $1M question is, what do this past week's results do to this? He had Miami modeled at 12, and we were 12. He had ND modeled at 9, and they were 9. I do think if, somehow, we got literally next to each other, let's say ND dropped to 10 and Miami got to 11, then you make the head to head the differentiator. But apparently with 3 spots between them, the committee does not. So again, does Miami's SOS get equal to ND's with Miami playing an 8-3 Pitt and ND playing terrible Stanford? Does Miami's game control rise and get equal to NDs beating the **** out of Pitt and ND not covering against Stanford? Miami gets another quality win, ND does not. So, when you look at the 2 resumes this week, are they close enough to where you say "OK, these teams are just about the same, maybe ND is slightly higher, but Miami won, so we're going to push them ahead?"
Vegas obviously says no. We'll see what the committee says next week. But I think *THROUGH LAST WEEK* ND did have an argument that they should be ahead of Miami. But now that both resumes have the ink dried, with Miami beating Pitt even worse than ND did, are we at that point where it's close enough to make head-to-head the deciding factor? If Miami is still 12 tomorrow and ND is still 9, pack it in.