I'm not sure what post you're saying I'm not responding to. We've been at this for a few days. ANSWER THE QUESTION.
We've discussed this. "Should" and "will" are not the same. We "should" have beaten BC, UVA, Duke, Georgia Tech and Wisconsin last year. We didn't. Blame it on the offense all you want, but consider the following:
- In the UVA game, the Cavaliers only had 235 yards of total offense (to our 340) and still won.
- At BC, the "vaunted" defense you claim will carry us to 11 wins next year gave up 450 yards, including 220 on the ground. Blame the weather if you want, but we've got two such games this year -- Pitt and Duke -- and those are games we tend to struggle in (which I've already told you but you seem to want to ignore).
- The "horrible" offense had 410 yards of total offense to Duke's 290. If our offense was so egregiously bad, why were teams who we outproduced offensively nevertheless beating us?
- Georgia Tech was a dumpster fire. Nothing to excuse that game.
The problem does not lie solely with the offense, as you seem to think it does. In three out of four of our worst regular season losses last year, the offense was by no way, shape or form the problem. So your theory that simply improving the offense will magically add four wins to our schedule is misguided.
Also, I love the Enos hire, but let's not automatically assume he's going to bring us into the Top 20. Will we improve? Absolutely. But an improvement to say, 60th overall in team offense, still isn't bringing us to the 11-win threshold. If Enos gets us into the Top 40, your prediction starts looking more realistic based on the schedule (see below), but how realistic is it to expect that?
I see weaknesses on the offensive line that I'm not sure were addressed from last year. We've seen what a bad OL can do to a team (see: FSU, 2018). And I'm still not sold on QB play yet. These aren't "looking for trouble" questions I have; there's a reason most posters on this board are concerned in those two areas.
As for our schedule, here's how I view it:
Easy Wins:
Bethune Cookman
Central Michigan
FIU
Should Win:
UNC
VT
Pitt
Duke
Louisville
GT
Toss Ups
FSU
UVA
Other Team Will be Favored
Florida
You think we'll take every game in the "toss ups" and "should win" category; that's cool. I look at a team that has lost games from both those categories in the past 2 seasons, and then look to the OL and QB play, and can't help but think that we may drop one or two of those games. In your eyes, I guess that makes me a "fake fan" who "wants to see Miami stay down" (LOL), but from where I'm sitting, I just view it as a realistic expectation.
And there's the rub. If we drop the UF game, one of the toss ups, and drop one of our road games against the next tier, I won't call that an abject failure. You will. You're entitled to that, but I think you're wrong, and I think it's crazy to be that unrealistic on a NEW staff, trying to install a NEW offense, and attempting to reboot a NEW culture that's been missing from the program for the past two decades.
Does this meet your approval? Will you answer the question now, or are you going to give us another reason not to do so?