forums

Realistic season predictions and expectations. Warning: reasonable post

Tetragrammaton Cane said:
Miami Schedule
BOLD - HOME
(Opponent Previous week game)

8/24 - UF “Orlando” *when was the last time Miami beat a top-10 team while unranked?
8/31 - BYE
9/7 - @UNC (S Carolina). *2018 worst team in the coastal
9/14 - BCC (SE LA)
9/21 - CMU (Akron)
9/28 - BYE
10/5 - VT (Duke). *after bye week, at home, many of their best players transferred
10/11 - UVA (BYE) *Friday Night Game
10/19 - GT (Duke). *First year coach; personnel for new scheme?
10/26 - @Pitt (Syracuse). *Manny remembers 2017
11/2 - @FSU (Syracuse). *because …
11/9 - L’VILLE (BYE) *2018 worst team in ACC
11/16 - BYE
11/23 - @FIU “Miami” (BYE)
11/30 - @Duke (Wake)

- UVA and Louisville are the only teams with a BYE week before playing Miami. Both are Miami home games.
- Both Pitt and FSU play Syracuse the week before Miami.
Click to expand...

Just beat UF and look at that three bye weeks. I completely forgot we play Louisville lol.
 
Win the Coastal and win the Orange Bowl is what I am expecting. Defense should be good. Special Teams hopefully will be better (can't be much worse), Offense should be a breath of fresh air.

The main thing that has me the most hyped up is that we seem to finally have an offensive staff that will make adjustments and tailor the offense to the talent, situation and opposing defensive schemes.

Also, we all know that Manny Diaz has done a good job the last few years at making adjustments at halftime. If the Offense can do the same then the sky is the limit.
 
1st year HC, coming off a terrible offensive season, another schedule that should be manageable, we need to win 9-10 games to consider the season a success.
 
TheRichtShow said:
I dont think you get how hard it is to go undefeated OP. And we dont really have top-5 or even top-10 talent. More than everyone but UF/FSU but still in the 15-20 range.

I think we'll be well-coached and get good QB play, but our depth is very thin at a lot of positions, so injuries will really hurt us.

I think we should go 10-2, but I'd set the realistic over/under at 9.5
Click to expand...
We don’t need top 10 talent to run the coastal. This team should not lose more than one game based on its schedule and talent, even considering lack of depth in places. More than 2 is a disappointment.
 
Mklein13 said:
Think we handle Pitt and Virginia. FSU is obviously always a dogfight no matter how bad they are. I could see Florida, FSU, and maybe Ga Tech as tough ones.
Click to expand...
I think what made Tech a tricky game was they were running the option, IMHO. I'm holding the horses on the optimism until I see the Florida game, I drank the kool aid last year. The schedule is really easy though, we should be playing Clemson.
 
Our schedule this season is trash. We have no excuses not to win 11 games . I think we might drop the game to UF but beyond that game it is hard to see us lose again til Clemson in the ACCTG. If we were to lose a 2nd game it would be UVA IMO .
 
Tetragrammaton Cane said:
Miami Schedule
BOLD - HOME
(Opponent Previous week game)

8/24 - UF “Orlando” *when was the last time Miami beat a top-10 team while unranked?
8/31 - BYE
9/7 - @UNC (S Carolina). *2018 worst team in the coastal
9/14 - BCC (SE LA)
9/21 - CMU (Akron)
9/28 - BYE
10/5 - VT (Duke). *after bye week, at home, many of their best players transferred
10/11 - UVA (BYE) *Friday Night Game
10/19 - GT (Duke). *First year coach; personnel for new scheme?
10/26 - @Pitt (Syracuse). *Manny remembers 2017
11/2 - @FSU (Syracuse). *because …
11/9 - L’VILLE (BYE) *2018 worst team in ACC
11/16 - BYE
11/23 - @FIU “Miami” (BYE)
11/30 - @Duke (Wake)

- UVA and Louisville are the only teams with a BYE week before playing Miami. Both are Miami home games.
- Both Pitt and FSU play Syracuse the week before Miami.
Click to expand...

Thanks for the breakdown mate. I’m still seeing an 11-2 season with one regular season loss (which we shouldn’t lose, call it a lack of focus game), and then to Clemson in the ACCCG. Which leads to a NY6 bowl game we finally win, setting up 2020 as a preseason Top 10 team.
 
Canedog said:
Beat Florida and FSU and anything else is just gravy.
Click to expand...
I use to think this and then we did beat FSU and lost to many others.

QB's that could not beat out Rosier. A transfer QB that can not beat out those 2 QB's. OL's are the same weak players from last year. Freshman are complete projects. Learning a new offense.

History over the past 15 years says that 9 wins is a big season. We are averaging 7.6 wins per season over the past 15 years. Diaz in a 3 year rebuilding mode. 9-3
 
Dwinstitles said:
2 losses one to UF and someone else is what I expect.
Click to expand...

This is my thought process but I’m having trouble figuring out who the 2nd loss will be to.

I’d assume a letdown would be on the road so that limits it to FSU (who I can’t see beating us with Taggart), Pitt, Duke, and UNC.
 
Captain Uberpants said:
This is my thought process but I’m having trouble figuring out who the 2nd loss will be to.

I’d assume a letdown would be on the road so that limits it to FSU (who I can’t see beating us with Taggart), Pitt, Duke, and UNC.
Click to expand...
i know we win the coastal though but dont know who we will cough up that second loss too
 
Hegemon said:
We've had the Dnofrio offense the last 3 years and folks still do not appreciate what our defense did most of the season. I could care less about Wisconsin. We should be FINALLY be able to pin our eyes back and murder some of these teams because Manny is going to run up the score like Jimmy used too.

Anything less than 11-1 is an abject failure.

The only team we play that had fewer than 5 losses last year is UF. We leave the state 3 times and have I believe and do not quote me on this 3 bye-weeks. 11-1. We score 28 points a game last year and we're 11-1.
Click to expand...

Think you're underestimating the lack of quality depth on the offensive line. Expectation that 11+ wins being an "abject" failure is just completely unrealistic.

The team has talent, but the ACC won't be as garbage as it was last year (I expect UNC, UVA, Ga. Tech and Louisville to all be better), but Manny has been tasked with a complete cultural change PLUS some glaring holes on the roster. Even if the schedule is not the toughest, this isn't as easy as you're making it out to be.
 
Best we can hope for with this Oline is a coastal championship and respectable showings in the bowl/conf champ game.
 
Let me phrase it another way for those who think a minimum 1 loss expectation is somehow crazy.

We did that with a worse offense in 2017 just because the offense played average enough of the time. The single loss came from when it finally **** the bed thanks to its downward trajectory over the season.

Our defense in 2018 was even better. If it takes a step back even to the 2017 level simply because of the depth issues, a new even average offense can wipe the floor with this easy schedule.

Given the fact that we are guranteed to have a much better offense overall, and hopefully one that actually improves over the season instead of deteriorating...

1 loss to a hard team to the gates or a tough road game, and hopefully not just a pathetic implosion like pitt, doesn't seem at all a crazy standard to hold our new coach to.
 
Back
Top