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Ask yourself this..if we had an OSU level operation and budget to work with who’s more likely to build a roster that resembles their 2024 national championship team coach a, or coach b ?
That’s a very good question. Coach B was at one of the biggest bag schools in CFB. He went 12-2 in 2019 with a NFL caliber QB, but losing to a mediocre ASU team during the regular season spoiled his chances. An OSU level program doesn’t really have rebuilding years. He had the money but couldn’t build an OSU level program that is competitive for a title ever year. 2021 was a mirage- he won the PAC 12 with 4-3 record because it was the weakest conference in CFB, and lost multiple games to 1 win teams. 2022 was a bit of a bounce back to 10 wins, but the season included losses to a 3 win Stanford team, then getting smoked by Utah twice.
Coach A took over a program where the school spent virtually no money on it. Year 2 he had an 8-3 season, a good improvement but tempered by one of the most lopsided losses ever. Year 3 he lost his starting QB, a guy who was good for 50 TDs, 4 games into the season. His backup was fools gold. The team lost a lot of games it probably wouldn’t have if the starting QB had stayed healthy. Coach A got fired after a 7–5 season, including winning 6 of the last 7 games. He then went on to be a DC at a near OSU level program and had one of the best defenses in the country. Then he goes to one of the least resourced programs in the ACC and wins 9 games in his first season.
I look at Ryan Day and see a guy who was an extremely capable coordinator, I don’t think that he personally is an elite recruiter but he has elite recruiters on his staff that more than make up for it. Coach A seems to follow that Ryan Day model better than Coach B. So if I had an OSU level budget and wanted to copy OSU, I would take Coach A because I would have to consider that some of the failures in his first go around MIGHT be due to him not having a chance to learn how to be a HC at a smaller school, like Coach B did. I see what Coach B did at a big program with a huge budget, and I don’t see that he built an OSU level program. It appears his successor did, though.
So again, I’m trying to be purely objective and not look at the names of the coaches. I still think I’d take my chances with Coach A. Chance of failure are still high, but there is still an element of the unknown- he might be able to surprise. I have seen enough of Coach B with a well-heeled program to determine that he can build a solid , sustainable foundation but I don’t think he can build an OSU level program capable of winning championships.
One last thing- I am looking at this through the lens of the OSU model as you proposed. If the question was about copying the Clemson model, I would take Coach B.
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