You said it in your score prediction and I said something similar... I think I predicted 38-34 and said "closer than it should be".
It's just too predictable at this point. We played eight 1-score games in 2019 (went 3-5) and played 2 complete games that year - FSU and Louisville back to back weeks, we played four 1-score games in 2020 (went 3-1), we blew out Duke and FSU and got blown out against UNC and Clemson, and now this year we've played six 1-score games (4-2) and got blown out twice. In 3 years we're 10-8 in 1 score games under Manny. It's balancing out very close to 50/50 W/L - what you would expect. Goes to show there's probably another loss on the schedule in the next 3 games.
We blow out terrible teams, get blown out by good teams, and play everyone else close regardless of the talent gap. That's just who Manny is. All signs of a poorly coached team - especially when you play down to the competition (unless it's FSU or Duke) but never up to the competition of a team like Clemson, UNC, Alabama, and Michigan State. Good enough sample size too.