Any mathematical person worth their salt would know that data points have context.
-Kelly inherited a trashy .500 program of which he had nothing to do with it ever being. He wasn’t part of the .500 garbage that he inherited (hint hint). Diaz has already had like 5 program-definingly bad losses in only 2 years and no probation or sanctions to blame. This isn’t the Knute Rockne era, either: it is much more difficult for Notre dame to attract and keep players in this era than at any point in college football history.
-Kelly already had extensive success as a head coach and not just at one one place: he won national championships at Grand Valley State, was turning around CMU, and had Cincinnati as a top 10 team by the time he left. It would have been monumentally stupid to fire Kelly two seasons in to his tenure.
-even in his first two seasons he had improved the team a lot and was transitioning the culture. They had better records even. He played in the title game his third year. You could see an overall projection of the program getting better relative to what he inherited.
-it’s so funny to hear fans bring up hard rock to
Put him down, too. That was a great game for us but he still beat a ton of ranked teams that year and finished with ten wins with a brutally difficult schedule. He beat usc, lsu, nc state ( who finished ranked), lost to Georgia by 1 point, beat Michigan state who won 10 games, etc. what have we done as a program since hard rock? Or the 7 years prior? What has kelly done? Should we compare winning percentages?
giving Diaz more time by comparing him to a coach like kelly or dabo given the major issues that have existed under him after 2 years, is not a good comparison.