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Are we missing something

I only hedged enough to pay for the bet. Too expensive, and I believe a bad bet, to take Indiana ML -320... and it has gotten worse.
 
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I'm honestly loving this. Feels like the same energy in the national narrative as it was pre-Ohio State game, and our boys came out laser focused and took care of business.
 
Fart Keyhole said:
The betting public has hammered IU for this game, but there are a ton of "Miami to win NC" futures bets with big payouts on the books.

The cynic in me thinks that the unholy marriage between sports journalism and sports betting is inducing the former to pump up IU for the purpose of attracting action on the spread and ML (all to offset the downside in case Miami wins).
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The public is dumb when it comes to betting.
 
Our perspective is from way inside Canesworld. I think what other people see, above all, is Indiana boat racing Alabama and Oregon. People are very impressed by that. I can't say they're wrong. They just don't know our team as we do.
 
The U is back to work said:
I think people are just unable to communicate why IU is so good because they are bucking talent trends. They just don’t beat themselves and if we play a clean game I do think that 4th quarter we can wear them down like we’ve worn everyone down late in games.
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There’s three phases of playing the Canes.

1st quarter shock and awe. Power size and physicality can overwhelm you and if you are lucky you get out down 10 or less. Louisville avoided this and it propelled them to a victory

2nd and 3rd Q struggle. You grind for 2 quarters to get something done and put yourself in a position to win

4th Q fatigue. The stress of our size physicality and depth wears you down and it takes every fiber of your being just to muster the energy to compete. If you are lucky you can make a play that ends the misery. SMU did this with the help of the officials

In every W this is how it played out. I refuse to believe that Indiana has the size and depth to maintain with us for 4 quarters. If we can capitalize on the initial shock of our personnel advantage and avoid giving Indiana life through mistakes or explosives I think we can fold them.

I think the shock of our trench dominance could be so deflating to their morale and focus that theynosedive in the face of that type of adversity. They hung in with * but * isn’t what we are in the trenches and we showed it in the Cotton Bowl.
 
Pentagon Cane said:
PBecause they boat raced Bama and Oregon. But they are overlooking Ohio State. Day went brain dead. You throw on 3rd and 1 at the 5 then QB sneak with Sayin on 4th and 1. Then next series OSU misses a chip shot. Miami absolutely dominated Ohio State in the trenches.

Indiana's weakness is their two tackles. Our strength is defensive end. I think Mendoza is in for a rough night.

I think we are going to run a bunch of heavy sets with 7 lineman. Stunt and Sim off that mother****ers.
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It doesn’t matter that OSU almost won its how the game played out. Indiana survived *taint. We mauled them. That’s the difference. We mauled a team Indiana had to scrape and claw against and they made a bunch of poor/arrogant decisions that cost themselves the W.
 
The line is -8.0 because how bad Oregon lost. Plus Miami beat themselves bad against ole miss. We just need to play a clean game and control the line of scrimmage on both ends and we can win in the 4th quarter.
 
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CanesFan93 said:
When have we taken advantage of a defense with speed? Indiana's defense thrives on defending shorter-to-intermediate routes. Its not an ideal matchup and will more than likely look similar to the OSU game.
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I'm pretty sure our offense has produced at least one down field explosive in more than half of our games this season. We've missed at least ten other opportunities that were fairly open, so I can see the "haven't taken advantage of" angle. But that would require us to ignore the screen game as well

Indiana's LBs are awesome in run support without losing much against the pass because their DL is typically exploiting gaps in the OL and controlling the game with the front four

I don't believe they'll do that on Monday and I do believe we'll have a different level of success against this team than what's expected

We'll see come Monday
 
When the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor - that was assumed to destroy our Navy, and they'd been undefeated through a long string of victories.

We then broke their back at Midway.

Same-same here. Those pretty boys walking into a chain saw.
 
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Indiana is a very good team. But we belong on this field - and deserve to be here; these are the best two teams in the country.

This game could absolutely go either way. TBO at this point, nobody should be surprised by a win by either team.
 
GeminiCane said:
So I read The Athletic article by Bruce Feldman on how 12 coaches all picked Indiana. Today driving to worked 4/4 panelists on the LockedOnACC podcast picked Indiana, all of whom picked them by a TD or more. Of course we all know the 8.5 pt spread

I’m more confident about this game than the Ole Miss or OSU games and a lot of ‘Cane fans seem to have the same vibe.

Are we all missing something, seeing things from Orange and Green glasses, too giddy just to reach this point?
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FWIW, Google Gemini said if we hadn’t lost to SMU and Louisville, ran the table to win ACC and beat Ohio State and TAMU, game either be pick ‘em or Miami -2.5. I know it’s a lot of what ifs - but Indiana got lucky multiple times with opponents missing FGs late in games that likely gives Indy 1 or 2 losses. Miami got screwed by refs against SMU and Louisville was… well, I can’t explain what was going on with Beck that day. But even in that game we had the ball last. If Dawson doesn’t put the game in Becks hands and just calls run plays, we win. Point is that SMU and UL loss make Miami look like a far inferior team, when I think all Miami fans realize those games were a wake up call and made us a different team.
 
I’m just glad we’re not playing FSU or Georgia… since they beat Alabama by multiple scores also.

In all seriousness IU is an exceptionally good team, but Pate is right. Our best is better than their best. We just need to bring our best.
 
SWFLSWAGG17 said:
The only worry I have is, if Miami wins, Vegas gets crushed.
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Not as much as you’d think.

Every rec bet is on Indiana so far. Can’t disclose figures where I work, but definitely one-sided spread action so far. Ideal outcome for the house is Indiana win but not cover…but Miami outright is second best right now.
 
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