I think a lot of this hinges on whether we play a clean game or not, and I think many are just assuming we won't. Plus they all saw what happened to Oregon and are lazily assuming something similar will happen. Of course we all know that even with truly great teams, that's not necessarily the case. Look at 2001 when we bludgeoned #15 Syracuse and #11 Washington, but the very next game had to squeeze out a 2 point victory over #14 VT.