OrangeBowlMagic
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- Joined
- Jul 13, 2014
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As my boy Bruce Buffer famously says......'ITTTTTTTTTT'SSSSSSSS..........TIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIMMMMMMMMMMMMMEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!"
Time for our annual punch yourself in the **** thread, where we talk about what needs to happen to make it to Charlotte, and (spoiler alert), we never make it to Charlotte.
But I just saw a tweet from ESPN that said Miami currently has a 5% chance of making the ACCCG, so we might as well talk about it. Queue the Lloyd Christmas gif.
Obviously, we need to win out. 1 more loss and we're mathematically eliminated.
FSU has a 99% chance to make it, per ESPN. So let's just assume they're going. Even with a loss to us, all they need to do is beat Wake and Pitt and they clinch a spot. Even if they lost 1 of those 2, and they lost to us, they're still likely in, so who is our competion for the other spot?
Looks to me like it's UNC and Duke. UNC has a 36% chance, and Duke has a 26% chance. The next team is Louisville at 26%, but they already have a loss and we play them, so if we win out, we'd be ahead of them.
UNC will need to lose TWICE more, I believe, since they have the tiebreaker over us. They do play at GT in a night game this weekend, then they still have Duke at home, at Clemson, and at NC State. So it's possible. Here is what we need for this week, and I'll update this as long as we keep winning:
Miami beats UVA (3:30 ACC Network, at Miami)
GT beats UNC (8:00 ACC Network, at Atlanta)
Louisville beats Duke (3:30 ESPN, at Louisville)
Feel free to tell me how big of an ******* I am for talking about this, thinking about it, how ****** the team is, how many more teams we'll lose to, and how we shouldn't be looking ahead to anything and focusing on Virginia, as if I have a gameplan to incorporate this week. I'm here for all of it.