CaneMutiny06
Sophomore
- Joined
- Nov 3, 2011
- Messages
- 1,568
It’s not just about the first-year salary. It’s about the entire guaranteed pay package. For example, a fully guaranteed 4-year, $16M contract is worth far more than a one-year college salary of $4M. If you return, get injured, and regress, you could end up losing millions you would have made. Stil might be worth it if you think you can play yourself into a top 10 pick because now you're talking about $10M+ a year.
Absolutely. And signing bonuses have to be taken into account as well.
Alternatively and theoretically though, if the likeliest outcome is a year one salary that is superseded by the money being offered to come back to college, and that draft position is viewed as “the floor” in 2027, then the (substantial) difference of being a top-10-15 pick vs a bottom 1st rounder has to be taken into consideration.