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MEGA There’s Still Hope for the ACCCG/CFB Playoffs Mega Merge Thread

Genghis Cane said:
They also don’t have a ranked win. Their best win is a 4-loss Iowa team.

If they lose to USC and they are ahead of us, it’s time to burn it all down.
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If. But they’ll find a way to beat USC. We knew all of this going in. I can even excuse the LVille loss. Beck a horrible game. 2 NFL 1st rounders in Moss and Brown. Brohm a bye week to prepare (we had a bye week too). But to lay an egg 2 weeks later after looking terrible against Stanford. Yeah we did this to ourselves.
 
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Handsome Squidbum said:
The refs picking up the PI flag called on Ole Miss was literally jaw dropping. I saw the flag, then the replay and told my buddy, “yeah can’t argue that one. Florida has a chance.” And then they decided it wasn’t PI. Wasn’t a review or anything - it was just the SEC refs saying, “Ole Miss isn’t losing at home to Florida tonight. That’s too embarrassing a loss and they might drop out of the playoff picture.”
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Auburn getting hosed against UGA and OU were just as bad
 
franchiseboi said:
I'm surprised people are assuming Oklahoma takes care of business these next 2 weeks and gets in over us. They were dreadful yesterday against Bama, I think they had the lowest post-game win expectancy of any team who won yesterday. They won because of Bama sloppiness/turnovers. They actually DROPPED 3 spots in SP+ yesterday (below Miami) despite beating Bama.

They also play a solid Missouri team that has a very good defense and maybe the best RB in the country. Assuming they take care of that, they then play a talented LSU team that I'm sure would love to play spoiler. Those will be 2 good defenses that Mateer would have to face, and he's been pretty mid since the thumb injurty
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idiocy

you leave out that Missouri is on their THIRD STRING QUARTERBACK and that LSU has already fired their head coach.
 
ALLoverCANE said:
Absolutely absurd thing to say in 2025. I bet you still believe nonsense like "you are what your record says you are". The predictive metrics, the resume metrics, the human rankings all are in alignment that GT and UVA are fraudulent.
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No. I just think Utah and BYU arent that good no matter what their record says. Backfired on you didnt it
 
PennsylvaniaCane said:
If. But they’ll find a way to beat USC. We knew all of this going in. I can even excuse the LVille loss. Beck a horrible game. 2 NFL 1st rounders in Moss and Brown. Brohm a bye week to prepare (we had a bye week too). But to lay an egg 2 weeks later after looking terrible against Stanford. Yeah we did this to ourselves.
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I had a month to complain about this team on the board. I did. If we play like we did yesterday in our last two games, we deserve to be in. And anyone who doesn’t agree, has an agenda.
 
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IndayArtHauz said:
I expect us to be in a very similar place to last year. Compelling case to be in, rather than eliminating any chance to be out.

Don’t lose to multiple teams you are better than and there’s no argument.
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Everyone else is allowed to. Nothing against you, because you’re a great poster, but I’m tired of this argument.

Yes, we shouldn’t have lost those games. But we’re the only team held to this insane standard.

You could argue last year that we hadn’t beat anyone. That argument doesn’t work this year.
 
CityboyCanes4life82 said:
Alright fellas, here’s how the playoff setup actually works this year. Only five conference champs get auto-bids, the five highest-ranked conference champs. After that, the committee fills in the other seven at-large spots.

Right now, those auto-bids would come from:
  1. Big Ten
  2. SEC
  3. Big 12
  4. Probably James Madison (crazy right lol)
  5. ACC
After those five lock in, we’re basically looking at three spots left, and here is why:

6. Indiana, the Big Ten title loser at 11–1

7. The SEC title loser, either Georgia or Texas A&M

8. Oregon with only one loss

9. Ole Miss with only one loss


Now, about BYU. If they lose to Texas Tech again in the championship game, they’re out.

So once those shake out, the final three at-large spots are basically between:

Notre Dame
Miami
Oklahoma
Alabama

Here’s the part the committee can’t mess up:

If head-to-head actually matters like they claim, then Miami has to be ahead of Notre Dame this week. Period.

Oklahoma already beat Alabama, so by that same logic, Alabama should be out.

Now here’s the thing about bubble teams, and this is where it gets real simple. If you’re not a conference champion, then you’re automatically a bubble team. And when you’re a bubble team, head-to-head losses matter the most. You can’t cherry-pick it, you can’t spin it. It is what it is. If you lose head-to-head, you’re automatically eliminated. Bubble teams don’t get mulligans. You don’t get to dodge the conference title game, avoid the risk, and then act like you deserve the benefit of the doubt over teams that actually went out and won something.

And on top of that, you can’t say Notre Dame is one of the top eight teams in the country when Miami beat them head-to-head and they have the same exact record. How can you leave Miami out? Miami has the best win of any bubble team, a win over a team the committee is ranking insanely high. So how can Notre Dame be ranked top 10, used as the reason to prop up someone else’s resume, but Miami, the team that actually beat them, gets left out of the playoff? No other bubble team has a better win than Miami. None. That makes absolutely no sense.

And while we’re at it, common opponents matter too. Florida State beat Alabama. Miami beat Florida State. Alabama lost by multiple touchdowns. So again, it is what it is. If you’re a bubble team, everything counts: head-to-head, common opponents, margin, all of it. You can’t ignore that just because the helmet says Alabama.

Same thing with Alabama overall. It makes zero sense to have Alabama in the playoff when they already lost to Oklahoma. It’s one or the other. Either Oklahoma gets in, or Alabama is out. Simple. No mental gymnastics.

If they rank it correctly this week, Miami should be in a really good spot heading into the final weekend.
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Makes sense, but committee ultimately will play by its own rules/perceptions & find a way to justify. Only thing to count on is someone will be unhappy.
 
LMCane said:
idiocy

you leave out that Missouri is on their THIRD STRING QUARTERBACK and that LSU has already fired their head coach.
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everything OK at home little guy?

I didn't say either was a slam dunk, just that both present issues for OU and what's been a pretty mediocre offense lately

And firing Brian Kelly I would argue is positive for LSU
 
The ACC is treated like the BIG12 by those who have decision making power. Some choose not to believe it but thats the reality.

We don't control our own destiny and we won't make it in unless teams collapse in front of us. Miami has once again missed an opportunity to take a step forward.
 
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Imagine putting Pringle in over Lyle for 1 series in either one of our losses, wouldn’t be in this position
 
Coaches poll is out. We moved up 1 spot (15). Bama still at 10. Texas didn’t even drop out of the top 20 (18). 3 or 4 sec teams still in top 25 with 3 losses. Oregon now at 5 or 6. So even if USC gives them second loss USC will jump us and Oregon will only drop to about 11 or 12. I know this isn’t the committee list but it shows a template of thought process.
 
At this point, the committee is rigged and caters to the P2. So if it comes to Alabama, OU and Miami, Miami will get the shaft.

But… I think if this weekend was the beginning of a change for Mario/Dawson as it relates to scoring and they add a little tempo and blow out VT and Pitt, it can create some much needed pressure on the committee to consider Miami over one or both of the SEC bubble teams.

I still have faith that IF we take care of our business and look good doing so, something will happen (the right upset) that will give us an opening.

We had the same opportunity last year. And we dropped the ball.


Last point, best believe that anything more than 1 loss for non P2 conferences is going to take a lot to get in future years, as the P2 schedule more in conference games and then will fill that last game or two with bottom dwellers. They already cancelling high profile games. Not just because of the extra conference game, but also for scheduling FIUs and FAUs.

Very little in the margins for proving a 2 loss ACC team is better than a 3 loss SEC team in the future.
 
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