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The Duke Dilema

FL Cane

FL Cane

All ACC
Joined
Aug 26, 2018
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Amazingly, despite being 5-4, after running every simulation, 7-5 Duke is basically a lock to get into the ACCCG, unless Pitt beats GT, Clemson beats UL, UL beats SMU, and SMU beats Cal. Wed also need to win out.

So root for them to lose two more, otherwise we need an inside straight.
 
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FL Cane said:
Amazingly, despite being 5-4, after running every simulation, 7-5 Duke is basically a lock to get into the ACCCG, unless Pitt beats GT, Clemson beats UL, UL beats SMU, and SMU beats Cal. Wed also need to win out.

So root for them to lose two more, otherwise we need an inside straight.
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We can make the playoffs without making the ACC-CCG. Duke could also miss the playoffs even if they win out; including the ACC title, and if the committee ranks two G5 champions, such as JMU and USF, above them. This would be likely as Tulane, slotted to play in the American championship game, already beat Duke.

Duke has three more ACC games left and needs to win all three to be guaranteed a spot in the conference championship game. A loss to UVA sinks their chances entirely. Then, a Pittsburgh win against Georgia Tech would be irrelevant if GT beats winless BC. GT beat Duke H2H.

UVA’s loss to NC State counts as a non-conference game. Pitt beating GT and losing to Miami would trigger a ton of tiebreakers too onerous to even think about right now. Potentially 7 teams would have two conference losses, assuming the previous sentence, Duke beats UVA, Louisville beats SMU, and said 7 teams win the rest of their other ACC games.
 
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Hoyacane1620 said:
Crazy numbers this year.

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Both B1G/XII conferences plus the $EC are overrated and the ACC is underrated.
Justin Bieber GIF by Taimi
 
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FL Cane said:
Amazingly, despite being 5-4, after running every simulation, 7-5 Duke is basically a lock to get into the ACCCG, unless Pitt beats GT, Clemson beats UL, UL beats SMU, and SMU beats Cal. Wed also need to win out.

So root for them to lose two more, otherwise we need an inside straight.
Click to expand...

If Diaz makes it to the ACC title game and wins, do you think he sends pictures of him holding the trophy to Cristobal?
 
FL Cane said:
Amazingly, despite being 5-4, after running every simulation, 7-5 Duke is basically a lock to get into the ACCCG, unless Pitt beats GT, Clemson beats UL, UL beats SMU, and SMU beats Cal. Wed also need to win out.

So root for them to lose two more, otherwise we need an inside straight.
Click to expand...
Duke winning the ACCCG with 5 losses, might be the best case scenario for Miami. Cant imagine the Committee wouldnt pick a 10-2 Miami team if we manage to win out. Would just need GT to lose another game, which they will.
 
Objectivefan79 said:
If the ACC has to send a 5 loss Duke team to the playoff they need to dismantle the conference immediately.
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The committee should make up a rule banning the ACC for this years playoff. The SEC and BIG 10 will be screaming for all 12 spots if that happens. They would have a valid point.
 
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Hoyacane1620 said:
Crazy numbers this year.

Click to expand...


It's insane that a team from one of the 2 "top conferences" can go 2 years and only play 2 teams that are ranked by the end of the season. That's some ACCC s*** if I've ever seen it.

2024
UCLA 5-7
Maryland 4-8
NW 4-8
Nebraska 7-6
Washington 6-7
Michigan 8-5
Mich St 5-7
Ohio St 14-2
Purdue 1-11

2025
Illinois 6-3
Iowa 6-3
Oregon 8-1
Mich St 3-6
UCLA 3-6
Maryland 4-5
Penn State 3-6
Wisconsin 3-6
Purdue 2-8

12 games against against sub-500 BIG10 teams and OOC of Old Dominion, Kennesaw State, Indiana State, FIU, Western Illinois, and Charlotte. That's 18 games in two years against absolutely dog s*** opponents.
 
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