Honestly, I think people just have PTSD and the media doesn’t wanna look stupid with a bounce back from Florida State so everybody’s predicting a close game with Miami winning but Florida State covering and I just don’t see it that way.
I think we’re gonna do things to Florida State to get you arrested
Only pushback to that is Vegas doesn't take any of that bull**** into effect, and the line is -4.5
I've said it since the UiF game ended, if this game was at Hard Rock, the line would be -10 and I'd be hammering Miami. At Doak is a different animal. Not because it's some impossible place, but it's a rivalry game, at night, on the road, in a loud environment. Far better teams than Miami have lost to far worse teams than FSU in the same spot. Weird **** happens on the road in college football. Carter Davis has been nails...will he be the same in the 4th quarter (hopefully we don't need him, but...) with 60K people screaming at the top of their lungs? It's just a different environment, and often leads to the road team playing something other than their best. Would it shock me if we won by 14+ points? **** no, I think we're way better. But would it shock me if it's a dogfight? Of course not.
Someone else pointed this out earlier this week, but Miami and FSU both got good at football around 1980. There have certainly been times where one or the other was much better than the opponent, but even through all the simultaneous great, good, awful, and ups and downs of both, Miami is 11-11 at Doak since 1980.
Of those 11 wins, TWO were by 10+ points.
2001, with the greatest team of all-time, 49-27
And 2019, against Willie Taggart, the week before he was fired, 27-10.
That's it. We've beaten them twice at Doak by 10+ since before I was born, and I'm an old ****.