Bummed about Carr, But I don't see how this can be shocking to anyone. All three of these guys were injured. When that happens, the decision comes down to whether they can make a full recovery and their commitment level to the rehabilitation and off-field regiment. There were question marks about every one of these guys. Maybe it was too soon and we should have tried to nurture them back into the rotation. But how long do you keep paying a Trevonte Citizen? At some point you need to cut bait.
First, you can't count 2022. Second, tell me a staff that does better than 50/50 in its evals? That's why you stack chips, because you know you'll have busts no matter how good the kids look in HS. Third, other top programs are seeing just as much attrition. Go look at Bama's outbound transfers in the Winter portal. Georgia just had a highly touted RB transfer out. Why? he was injured and passed up. Sound familiar?
If we can't count 2022, why does Mario get credit for Cooper and McCoy? You can't have it both ways. Either he gets credit and blame for it all, or he gets neither. You don't get to pick and choose.
As far as attrition, let me explain to you the difference. First, you are right, we are not the only school that is losing talent, everyone does.
You used Alabama and Georgia as two programs to point to that lose talent. They do, no doubt about it. But you chose those two because they are 2 of the top 3 programs in the last 10 years in CFB.
Why are they? For many reasons, but undoubetdly at the top of the list is because as you pointed out, you need to "stack chips", constantly and they are two of the best at bringing in elite classes.
So to my first point, we are NOT stacking chips anywhere near the likes of Alabama and Georgia. I think it's safe to say that, those teams pulling in the most top 100 players in the country constantly will be the most dominant programs in the country. And the numbers prove that.
So to my point, Alabama signed 38 composite top 100 players from 2022-2024, Georgia signed 33, while Miami signed a massive 13. So even if the hit rate is 50% at best (did not verify) when we miss on 50% of our 13 guys, we have 6/7 left, while when Alabama and Georgia miss at 50%, they have 19 or 16/17 top 100 players left. See the glaring difference? We cannot afford to miss at the same rate at those programs, when they are light years ahead of us recruiting. You aren't winning a **** thing with 6 or 7 top 100 players on your roster.
Second, most of those guys leave from those schools because they get beat out by other elite players (top 100). We aren't losing guys who get beat out by other elite players, because we don't have very many of them to begin with. So when we have top 100 guys leaving because they get beat out by guys not as highly ranked, well, I would say our evals were likely a little more off.