- Joined
- Dec 22, 2011
- Messages
- 42,668
Let me take it a step farther.
I believe that Miami's "most likely outcome" is 10-2. I'm not saying "most likely" means "90% likely", I'm just saying that I think it is more likely that we win 10 games than 8 or 9.
Now, having said that, I could certainly see a pathway to ending up at 8 or 9 games. I don't consider a prediction of 8 or 9 wins "crazy". Perhaps it is pessimistic, but definitely possible.
ON THE OTHER HAND...
Those "I'm keepin' it real, bro" bros who are predicting 7 or 8 wins act like those of us who can see 10 wins are CRRRRRAAAAAZY. They call us names, they tell us we are "drinking the Kool-Aid", they say that we are delusional. Yet those are the people that have an inflexible mindset, which is not based on an objective analysis of THIS team and THIS schedule and THIS year, but on some vague bullcrap about "past years" and "most teams" and "new systems". Nobody has yet explained the details of WHY Tyler Van Dyke will struggle in 2022, but they are quick to tell us he will, just...because...
It's very simple. I'm not of the belief that Miami is "all the way byke" yet. I simply look at the changes that have been made with this team, compare them to the additions/subtractions for our 12 opponents, factor in the location of the games and the timing of our calendar, and I see the road games at aTm and Clemson as being BY FAR our biggest challenges. Nothing else even comes close. It is not so crazy to think that Miami would be the favorite AT GAME TIME in the other 10 games that we play this regular season, and let's not forget the fact that we beat the defending ACC champ last year, ON THE ROAD.
I don't buy into the vague and mopey "we're gonna drop a game we shouldn't drop" nonsense. I don't care about the close games last year that we "could have lost". I am sick of people trying to protect their fragile feelings from disappointment, instead of getting pumped up for the UM football season like I have done every year for nearly 40 years, whether we went 13-0 or 5-6.
We will be either 3-1 or 4-0 at the end of September. We get UNC at home and I'm not worried about Virginia Tech. UVa will be the toughest October game, but Charlottesville is not a scary place to play. We get F$U and Pitt at home in November, and I've already mentioned the Clemson game as being a tough challenge.
Sooner or later, Mario and this team will knock the pvssification out of a segment of our fanbase, particularly the younger ones who haven't enjoyed as many dominant seasons as I've had the humble privilege to experience.
10-2. That's not based on some deluional over-estimation of Miami, it's due to the realization that we have 10 incredibly easy games to play outside of aTm and Clemson. I'm not overrating Miami, I'm just grateful for the fact that we have such a weak slate of opponents this year.
My man might want to lay off the donuts too.
