Evaluating Mario is the classic two things can be true at the same time. Last year was undoubtedly a disappointment with what we had on offense, even with the suspect defense. Missing the playoff with that schedule was borderline criminal. That said, you can’t even make the argument that Mario’s tenure so far hasn’t been a success. Some people forget we weren’t just a mediocre at best program prior to his arrival, we were worse, and that’s irrelevant. We are certainly not that anymore.
Mario is far from an all-time great, any he has a lot still to prove, but the program now is unquestionably in significantly better shape than it was before he arrived.
Hmmm; so the problem w me as a fan of the program & now a super CFB fan is that it has created quite the dichotomy.
I’m wondering what has changed for us to think any differently than from past regimes:
-Was it b/c we limped into 10 wins for the 1st time in 7 seasons & the 2nd time since joining the ACC?
-Is it b/c we’ve landed three 5* players in recruiting since he’s been here?
-Is it because we seemingly have more booster support than b4?
I’m looking for the empirical evidence proving we’re better today or is this more fandom & hope vs. reality?
Let’s examine the facts after 3 yrs, & u tell me if I’m tripping:
Coker (2001-2003):
35-3 (avg. recruiting class rank: 5th)
Shannon (2007-2009):
21-17 (avg. recruiting class rank: 10th)
Golden (2011-2013):
22-15 (avg. recruiting class rank: 19th)
Richt (2016-2018):
26-13 (avg. recruiting class rank: 14th)
Diaz (2019-2021):
21-15 (avg. recruiting class rank: 13th)
Cristobal (2022-2024):
22-16 (avg. recruiting class rank: 9th)
Shannon, Golden, Diaz, & Cristobal r all in the same boat after 3 yrs. In fact, our recruiting classes of 2022-23 were unmitigated disasters, so that avg. of 9th is moot, just like the previous regimes of highly touted classes.
Parallels: In 2018 we squandered arguably the best defense we had in 2 decades w a porous offense, by contrast In 2024, we squandered arguably the best offense we’ve had our in our history w a porous defense. The difference was one was a roller coaster ride while the other was as exciting as watching paint dry.
The only way I can firmly say we’ve been stabilized is if we turn out another 10+ win season this yr, something we haven’t done since 2002-2003. Other than that, it’s conjecture & hope to say Cristobal has stabilized us; &, b4 we say “look at the trajectory”, again…
Shannon:
Yr 1: 5-7
Yr 2: 7-6
Yr 3: 9-4
Trajectory
Golden:
Yr 1: 6-6
Yr 2: 7-5
Yr 3: 9-4
Trajectory
Richt:
Yr 1: 9-4
Yr 2: 10-3
Yr 3: 7-5
Declination
Diaz:
Yr 1: 6-7
Yr 2: 8-3
Yr 3: 7-5
Declination
Cristobal:
Yr 1: 5-7
Yr 2: 7-6
Yr 3: 10-3
Trajectory
The only way Mario can show he’s different than his predecessor is by having back to back 10+ win seasons. Other than that, it’s fandom rhetoric.
Lastly, this is to address the Richt/Dabo claims:
Richt didn’t have the benefit of the CFP in his early tenure. In Richt’s first 3 seasons (w/ 0 HC experience), UGA went 32-8. In 2 of those seasons, UGA would’ve made the CFP.
While it’s true that it took Dabo 3 full seasons to reach 10+ wins at Clemson, it’s also true that after that pivotal season, Dabo then went 11 straight seasons of winning 10+ games. So if Mario is on Dabo’s trajectory, that will manifest itself this season. If not, if we win less than 10 games again, then what’s the difference between he & his predecessors?
To be clear, this is not ****ting on Mario vs. highlighting the premature nature of saying “things r different.” We won’t know things r different until this season’s results, which for all of our sake, we need it to be.