- Sep 4, 2012
We are still in the running for Misguided Nerds Analytics National Championship. So you’re right. Our record doesn’t matter.Absolutely 100% false. This is an old school cliche that has been disproven repeatedly. Modern analytics have completely disproven it, but all you need is common sense to know that you are not what your record says you are.
Was the ND team that rolled into the title game vs. Bama really better than Bama because they had the better record? Heck no. They weren't even close to being as good as Bama. Analytics would have told you that, and so would common sense: they won a lot of close games vs. mediocre teams.
On a more sophisticated note...the analytic rankings have proven to be much better predictors of future success than past W-Ls (mainly due to adjusting for schedule and margin).
So no, you're not what your record says you are. You might have been in the past (although even that's debatable due to in-game luck), but you are not in the present nor in the future.
Wins and losses are for those old dinosaurs who get too caught up in shyt that doesn’t matter. We’re new school. Just give us some good analytics. From that perspective, we won resoundingly last week.