I think you're right. Even if the defense is a little better, that's still pretty bad.
Related story, I got into an argument last Friday with a couple of turds in my office. It started with me trashing Tebow for sporting the jersey number of his deceased convicted murderer boyfriend. They clapped back with Kellen Winslow. I admitted he's a POS, too, but the difference between UM and UiF is that unlike Tebow, the Pouncey bros, and most UiF fans, we aren't out wearing "Free Kellen" shirts or honoring KWII. Plus, the only balls KWII ever caught were footballs....
It escalated a little from there. I tried betting each of them a rack UM wins more games than UiF this year. They said that was too much. I tried dropping the bet to $500, but they stayed scared. When I asked them, alright, how much do you want to put on it, one of them said $20 and the other shook his head in agreement. I just laughed at them. Even a UCF grad who heard the back and forth walked out of his office to clown them. Called them little boys making "lunch money" bet, lol.