Akers is the engine to the whole thing. If you can slow him down and keep FSU behind the sticks, they're going to struggle.
The offense has been a lot better under Briles (shocker, good coaches improve things), but it's still been rather pedestrian overall. They're 71st in the country in YPP, 93rd in the country in yards per attempt rushing, and 55th in the country in yards per attempt passing.
I think they've finally realized that Blackman sucks balls, so expect to see Hornibrook again. Hornibrook has completed a higher percentage of his passes (68% vs 64%) a much higher YPA (8.7 vs 6.9) and a higher rating (159 vs 136). He's also only thrown 1 INT vs 5 for Blackman.
Other than Terry (who is excellent), their other WRs really don't scare anyone. They've got talent, but none of the other kids are true gamebreakers. Plus Helton (#2 WR) and Wilson (#4 WR) are both out. Terry, DJ Matthews, and Harrison is basically all they've got. They throw it a lot to McTitties and Nabors, the TEs, and Akers will be targeted as well. If Miami tackles well, especially on Akers, they'll be fine on defense. A lot of FSU's offense is predicated on Akers breaking tackles for big plays, and deep shots to Terry, which are very limited with Hornibrook in. He's very accurate, but he's got less than half the arm strength of Blackman.
They've averaged 35 points at home. If they get that number, Miami can't win. I think the magic number is 24....if Miami can hold them to 24 or less, they can win and it should be a game well into the 4th quarter. Let them get into the 30s, and this offense can't keep up, even with how average FSU is defensively.