Dabo went 9-4 in year 2 with a full season. Diaz went 8-3 in year 2, and the team had Michigan State, Wagner, and Temple taken off the schedule due to Covid. If he wins 2 of 3 (odds are we win all 3) that's easily a 10 win season. And in 2019, if the offense had simply managed 28 ppg (that's paltry in cfb, below 50th percentile ), that is a 10 win team too. Understand that I'm not defending Diaz, I'm just saying if we are parsing the data to come up with the justification for giving Dabo a break, then to be fair, Diaz (or any coach for that matter) should get the same treatment. Saban was garbage in his first 3 seasons. Butch went 5-6 in year 3. You generally don't know what you have in a HC until at least year 4, which makes sense because that is when the roster should consist almost entirely of the new coach's recruits (again, this is my theory for what a businessman on the BOT might be thinking)
I've tried to isolate what X factor sets the elite programs apart. Coaching? Money? Admin support? Well, we've seen the very richest programs fail (Texas). We've seen championship winning coaches go to different programs and look like garbage (Les Miles). We've seen incompetent corches win championships (Larry Coker). We've also seen programs that had virtually no admin support or resources win multiple rings (Miami). So if I had to pick one thing that Miami could do that would turn us into a title contender again, it would be this: cheat. Instead paying a HC $7 million, get a $5 million coach and spend the other $2 million on buying 3 or 4 five star recruits per class and/or pay the top end talent to stay instead of going to the NFL. Do that 3 years in a row and by year 4 you should have a roster with at least 8 5 star recruits, which should put you in the running for a national championship. The NCAA is a toothless fraud, the only thing that matters is the conference commissioner and the acc commissioner will be grinning from ear to ear if Miami wins championships again because his bank account will have some extra zeros in it.