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Canes -16 vs UAB on 9/10

Poptimus said:
The spread was never -16. BetOnline is notorious for releasing spreads at very low limits (e.g. $300) that they immediately adjust following Bookmaker releasing its odds. The consensus spread opened -14 and has zigzagged back and forth between -14 and -13.5, where it currently is.

The O/U has climbed linearly from 50.5 to 52 at the bigger offshore sportsbooks.
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I actually saw it at -16.5 on bovada at one point, dropped to -14
 
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What am I missing here? I don’t think this game will be close at all. Yeah, I get the last year, blah, blah, blah. And I expect it from those outside the program, but fans? I’m surprised some of the conservative takes. As I wrote earlier, Miami scores 31-45 before halftime. Miami won’t have a challenging game until Clemson.
 
68% of the tickets are on Miami, but only 17% of the money. The pros like UAB, and that’s why the line moved. You hate to see if move through the key number 14 as a Canes fan, but if you’re betting the canes, -13.5 is a **** of a lot better than -16 (or even 14.5).

Opinions on Miami have been all over the place (outside CIS). Bill Connley & Herbstreet named them as darkhorse playoff candidates. Brad Powers doesn’t have them in his Top 25, and has FSU rated higher.

I’ve been saying all summer that I was nervous we didn’t get a spring camp with the new OC. SMU was a -24.5 favorite over Texas State Saturday, returned 75% of their offensive production from last year including the stud QB, and looked rusty AF & almost lost. Yes, I had a sizable wager on SMU. Hopefully this is because the OC SMU lost is just that good.

I want to get a look at UM before I put any money down. Maybe live bet it, or take the 2nd half. If we come out firing on all cylinders and the live lines are too high, I’ll just sit back and enjoy the win and put my money elsewhere.
 
My heart says miami will be good this year and finally beat inferior teams like they should therefore taking miami on the spread seems like the easy pick.

My brain tells me miami doesn’t cover spreads and hasn’t beat a team like they should in a long time so the pick should be UAB plus the points. This is exactly why I stopped gambling a year ago. It never makes sense.
 
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Idk where you saw 16. I got in at 13.5 this morning and will double down if the 16 is true.
 
DC3 said:
Idk where you saw 16. I got in at 13.5 this morning and will double down if the 16 is true.
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Still at 13.5 so I doubled down.
 

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Spread went down big time, people are taken UAB. that's a bad sign for the CANES to cover. I'm not touching this game. Better games ahead.
 
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I wouldn't touch the over, because they might not score many points. Would suck to win 45-0 and not get the over.

If we win by less than 20, I will be disappointed. I just don't see UAB scoring enough to keep it competitive. I also don't see us struggling so badly we can't score enough to cover. We should roll them, and by quite a bit more than 14. IF they keep it close... God help everyone caught in the meltdown.
 
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