Score at the start of the 4th Quarter in last years games:
Duke 31
Miami 30
VT 35
Miami 24
The Duke game we were right there. The VT game we rushed 24 times for 28 yards.
Do I think a stud RB that could help us pick up 3rd and shorts, sustain clock eating drives, and keep our Defense off the field would have helped in those games? Yes, I do
I don't think we would have lost to Duke last year had Stacey Coley not gotten hurt.
Do you think we finish 2-3 last year if Duke Johnson doesn't get hurt? There's probably 5 games I can say "if we don't have Duke Johnson, we lose that game".
Yes, 1 player can make a huge difference.
What did Dallas Crawford do for us in the UNC game? You also assume that the opponents would remain constant in your BS 'What If?' scenarios, as though they wouldn't adapt to the situation. You assume we are in the position and make every conversion based off of what? How Collins does at Arkansas?
I'm a fan and supporter of Duke Johnson, but you cant ignore that he gets stuffed in every game against a good opponent. We are 13-1 when he scores a touchdown, but look at Goldens record against good/ranked opponents. That means Duke is balling out against scrubs. Either that is on him (doubt it), the O-line (most def), or the play calling (probably). Those last two would be the same situation for Collins. So plugging Collins in instead of Duke most likely still equate to the same result of us losing.
I only ever mentioned the VT & Duke games.
Duke's stats in 2012 games:
- VT - 11 carries - 100 yds - 1TD, Win by 18
- Duke - 16 carries - 176 yds - 3TD, Win by 7
Without him in 2012, we would have lost those games. Without him in 2013, we did lose those games. With him in 2014, I think we win those games.
The point is that - in JUST the VT and Duke games - if we had Duke Johnson or Alex Collins carrying the ball 20-25 times, in those very winnable games, we would've won.