Some thoughts on the Louisville loss

DMoney
DMoney
6 min read

Comments (537)

I'm not demoralized, but I'm anxious.

All of us would've signed up for 5-1 and sweeping our rivals. This is modern college football. I didn't have Louisville as the loss - their OL looked miserable on tape - but maybe we should've seen it coming. Marion's Oregon teams routinely dropped these games, and this was his fifth loss as a double-digit favorite (tying him with Kalen DeBoer and Hugh Freeze). Either way, we enter the second half of the season as a Top 10 team.

The reason I'm anxious is the calendar. This is the stretch where we always collapse. Another loss would be devastating. We thought for a minute it might be easy, and now we're back to sniffing glue.

Our culture is about to get a stress test. Miami will be favorites in every game. The team is relatively healthy. If they stay on point and together, this will be a very successful season. But they need to deal with adversity for the first time in a while.

The first three drives set the tone for this game. We didn't do a good job of handling the bye/game/bye stretch, and it showed early. We couldn’t tackle, the team looked flat, and there was no juice in the building. On Louisville's first play, their RT and Jaleel Skinner execute a textbook double-team on Rueben Bain to pop Isaac Brown. Brohm calls a beautiful drive from there and Louisville scores a short TD.

We get the ball, Francis Mauigoa commits an 15-yard unsportsmanlike, and the drive is dead on arrival. We didn't run once because of down and distance. Three and out.

Louisville gets the ball at the Miami 46 after a good return. Brohm calls three papercuts for a first down, and then Chris Bell takes a crosser through the heart of our defense for six.

From that point, Louisville controlled the game. Brohm is the real deal and his team played hard. Miller Moss, who can be erratic, was decisive with a quick passing game that neutralized our pass rush (2.32 seconds before pass). I underrated Louisville's defense- they have good athletes who made some incredible plays to capitalize on our mistakes. They deserved to win.

There were lot of reasons for the loss, but two stand out as obvious. We can't win with four interceptions. It took me back to 2023 because there wasn't even pressure. Just teams playing pass and reading our QB. We spent a lot time this off-season discussing Cam's failure to checkdown to Arroyo against GT, but Carson Beck made a similar mistake with Alex Bauman on the first INT. Beck needs to take the easy money when it's there. That's his game.

Beck's response will be the story of the season. The media is waiting for him to fold and lose the locker room, as evidenced by Danny Kannell's tweet. We all have have TVD PTSD as Miami fans. I think Beck is a different player, with more winning experience and a tighter relationship with his team. But he'll need to prove it.

The other story is the nine penalties. We’re 130th in penalties per game after finishing 98th last year. It’s a consistent problem that causes us to play below our talent level.

A lot of the focus will be on the running game. I don’t expect a wholesale philosophy change after years of success, but I do think you’ll see more outside runs going forward. We’re only averaging 80 yards over the past two games. That’s unacceptable, even if teams are scheming to take away the run.

But I thought the biggest issue with the running game was the penalties. Our whole philosophy is based on controlling down and distance, and we were always behind the sticks because of unforced errors. We only had 18 total rushing attempts in a close low-scoring game. Louisville controlled the pace with their quick passing, and they ran better than they have all season. It felt like every time Heatherman went to a different pressure look, Brohm called an Isaac Brown run right into the soft spot of the front.

Miami's offensive line played their worst game of the season. While pass blocking was mostly fine, Matt McCoy got beat clean on a crucial fourth down and caused Beck’s third INT. With good protection, Beck finds Elija Lofton wide open in the flat.

Three players are still dragging on the offense. Lofton has regressed as a blocker and still looks lumbering in the passing game, while also making mental mistakes. Jordan Lyle is bouncing around and struggling to fit the run scheme. Jojo Trader only played one play.

There’s reason the staff is force-feeding Lyle/Lofton and pushing JoJo- they’ve seen their impact ability in practice. But for a variety of reasons, it’s not translating to production. The good news is it’s a long season. But it’s not forever, and we need to see signs of life soon.

Malachi Toney has been consistently performing like one of the best playmakers in America. His physicality is the revelation to me- he's stiff-arming and running over older players like nothing. Him and CJ Daniels are a playoff-caliber duo, but they need help.



The other star receiver on the field was Bell. I called him the best draft-eligible receiver earlier in the week, and that might’ve been selling him short. He’s playing like the next best receiver in America after Jeremiah Smith. Unreal horsepower.

From a playcalling standpoint, two things stuck out to my untrained eyes- we should have played with more urgency and tempo down in the 4th, and we got too screen-happy in the 3rd. Even in a bad game, we need to trust our veteran QB to make decisions with good pass protection.

Random personnel note- we played both Booker Pickett and Herbert Scroggins with Akheem Mesidor banged up. I wonder if we see them (and Marquise Lightfoot) more against Stanford.

I saved this one for last, because it’s not an excuse. But the atmosphere was terrible to start the game. Some of it was traffic and people getting off work. That’s not a fan issue. But the student section was half full and taking selfies. Let’s be better.

The good news is that we don’t have to wait through another bye. We will see how this team responds right away. Go Canes.

Good points made. You’re way too soft on a 5th/6th year QB …
 
Apparently, if you’re a RB who can’t run into a wall then you’re a bad fit for this team.

If the staff can’t make Jordan Lyle work then they are the problem.
Was told by MULTIPLE PEOPLE he was the best player on the team coming into the season. The run gs r is philosophically broken and it ****es me off we refuse to adapt
 
I was annoyed at the loss but what has me demoralized are the patterns we see year after year (penalties, terrible uncreative run game, coming out flat a few times per year, conservative anemic stretches of offense). Then knowing that absolutely nothing will change based on an actual history of the same **** happening multiple times in the past and nothing ever changing after those losses.

I’m demoralized knowing he’s going no where and neither are these problems and we will absolutely see them another time or two this year (maybe more).

I feel like I’m back to just hate watching FSU on Saturdays. At least watching them get embarrassed is enjoyable.
 
I posted about this already, but I’m gonna say it. Our offense appears to be completely designed to mask a glaring deficiency. Our inability to effectively stretch the field vertically either because we don’t have the guys that can do it or the guy that can get it to them.
I watched Arizona State and that dude Tyson, I watch Bama with Williams, I saw several other teams with tall fast physical wide receivers that would come here and start day one with barely any practice.
It amazes me that for years I see these players all over the country and we can only manage tri county dudes that are under 5’11 and don’t even make the NFL. And to make it even more ridiculous, we can’t even get them from the portal.
How tf does Louisville find and develop a dude like Bell while we can’t recruit an equivalent or even get something close from the portal?
It’s so confusing and frustrating.
 
As brutal as the ending was I can’t fault the last play call. Why it turned into an interception is irrelevant at this point, but we had them on their heels, and I was pretty confident we were gonna be able to punch it in and sneak away with a win.
It really was just one of those games…
Good points made. You’re way too soft on a 5th/6th year QB …
 
In CFB, things can turn FASSSSSSSSSST.. You have coaches who were a couple plays away from championship game and #2 in nation, lose and then that slope got slippery and bottom fell out.
 
I ain’t making excuses, we should have won! But before Dmoney even mentioned it I wondered how much the bye bs played a part in rhythm. It’s no excuse but even if it played a 1% part it played a part. No excuses though because at the same time the bye allowed us to be fresh and healthy. So no excuses.
 
In CFB, things can turn FASSSSSSSSSST.. You have coaches who were a couple plays away from championship game and #2 in nation, lose and then that slope got slippery and bottom fell out.
If you’re not ahead of what the other team is doing, any given Saturday against a decently talented team. If you’re not ahead of what the other team is doing because that is how you want to play the game most of the time, you’re likely going to let underdogs into too many games. I’d love to believe that’s some vague theory, except in the last 4 years we’ve lost to 10 underdogs and 5 double digit ones. So, you know…
 
While pass blocking was mostly fine, Matt McCoy got beat clean on a crucial fourth down and caused Beck’s third INT. With good protection, Beck finds Elija Lofton wide open in the flat.

I'd argue that Beck should have found Lofton anyway, as he was wide open before the pressure forced the throw, but yeah, McCoy whiffed big time here.
 
I was annoyed at the loss but what has me demoralized are the patterns we see year after year (penalties, terrible uncreative run game, coming out flat a few times per year, conservative anemic stretches of offense). Then knowing that absolutely nothing will change based on an actual history of the same **** happening multiple times in the past and nothing ever changing after those losses.

I’m demoralized knowing he’s going no where and neither are these problems and we will absolutely see them another time or two this year (maybe more).

I feel like I’m back to just hate watching FSU on Saturdays. At least watching them get embarrassed is enjoyable.
100% this, we all know it too. The only thing that will.gove me long-term hope is Mario actually adapting the run scheme midseason....but I'd be shocked if it actually happens in a material way.
 
A wholesale philosophy change in the run game? No.

But past success doesn’t guarantee future spoils. The run game needs to get revamped or it’ll be a long stretch the second half of the season.

Louisville exposed not just parts of the run game but the predictability of the play calling. That’s a very big issue.
 
I'm not demoralized, but I'm anxious.

All of us would've signed up for 5-1 and sweeping our rivals. This is modern college football. I didn't have Louisville as the loss - their OL looked miserable on tape - but maybe we should've seen it coming. Mario's Oregon teams routinely dropped these games, and this was his fifth loss as a double-digit favorite (tying him with Kalen DeBoer and Hugh Freeze). Either way, we enter the second half of the season as a Top 10 team.

The reason I'm anxious is the calendar. This is the stretch where we always collapse. Another loss would be devastating. We thought for a minute it might be easy, and now we're back to sniffing glue.

Our culture is about to get a stress test. Miami will be favorites in every game. The team is relatively healthy. If they stay on point and together, this will be a very successful season. But they need to deal with adversity for the first time in a while.

The first three drives set the tone for this game. We didn't do a good job of handling the bye/game/bye stretch, and it showed early. We couldn’t tackle, the team looked flat, and there was no juice in the building. On Louisville's first play, their RT and Jaleel Skinner execute a textbook double-team on Rueben Bain to pop Isaac Brown. Brohm calls a beautiful drive from there and Louisville scores a short TD.

We get the ball, Francis Mauigoa commits an 15-yard unsportsmanlike, and the drive is dead on arrival. We didn't run once because of down and distance. Three and out.

Louisville gets the ball at the Miami 46 after a good return. Brohm calls three papercuts for a first down, and then Chris Bell takes a crosser through the heart of our defense for six.

From that point, Louisville controlled the game. Brohm is the real deal and his team played hard. Miller Moss, who can be erratic, was decisive with a quick passing game that neutralized our pass rush (2.32 seconds before pass). I underrated Louisville's defense- they have good athletes who made some incredible plays to capitalize on our mistakes. They deserved to win.

There were lot of reasons for the loss, but two stand out as obvious. We can't win with four interceptions. It took me back to 2023 because there wasn't even pressure. Just teams playing pass and reading our QB. We spent a lot time this off-season discussing Cam's failure to checkdown to Arroyo against GT, but Carson Beck made a similar mistake with Alex Bauman on the first INT. Beck needs to take the easy money when it's there. That's his game.

Beck's response will be the story of the season. The media is waiting for him to fold and lose the locker room, as evidenced by Danny Kannell's tweet. We all have have TVD PTSD as Miami fans. I think Beck is a different player, with more winning experience and a tighter relationship with his team. But he'll need to prove it.

The other story is the nine penalties. We’re 130th in penalties per game after finishing 98th last year. It’s a consistent problem that causes us to play below our talent level.

A lot of the focus will be on the running game. I don’t expect a wholesale philosophy change after years of success, but I do think you’ll see more outside runs going forward. We’re only averaging 80 yards over the past two games. That’s unacceptable, even if teams are scheming to take away the run.

But I thought the biggest issue with the running game was the penalties. Our whole philosophy is based on controlling down and distance, and we were always behind the sticks because of unforced errors. We only had 18 total rushing attempts in a close low-scoring game. Louisville controlled the pace with their quick passing, and they ran better than they have all season. It felt like every time Heatherman went to a different pressure look, Brohm called an Isaac Brown run right into the soft spot of the front.

Miami's offensive line played their worst game of the season. While pass blocking was mostly fine, Matt McCoy got beat clean on a crucial fourth down and caused Beck’s third INT. With good protection, Beck finds Elija Lofton wide open in the flat.

Three players are still dragging on the offense. Lofton has regressed as a blocker and still looks lumbering in the passing game, while also making mental mistakes. Jordan Lyle is bouncing around and struggling to fit the run scheme. Jojo Trader only played one play.

There’s reason the staff is force-feeding Lyle/Lofton and pushing JoJo- they’ve seen their impact ability in practice. But for a variety of reasons, it’s not translating to production. The good news is it’s a long season. But it’s not forever, and we need to see signs of life soon.

Malachi Toney has been consistently performing like one of the best playmakers in America. His physicality is the revelation to me- he's stiff-arming and running over older players like nothing. Him and CJ Daniels are a playoff-caliber duo, but they need help.



The other star receiver on the field was Bell. I called him the best draft-eligible receiver earlier in the week, and that might’ve been selling him short. He’s playing like the next best receiver in America after Jeremiah Smith. Unreal horsepower.

From a playcalling standpoint, two things stuck out to my untrained eyes- we should have played with more urgency and tempo down in the 4th, and we got too screen-happy in the 3rd. Even in a bad game, we need to trust our veteran QB to make decisions with good pass protection.

Random personnel note- we played both Booker Pickett and Herbert Scroggins with Akheem Mesidor banged up. I wonder if we see them (and Marquise Lightfoot) more against Stanford.

I saved this one for last, because it’s not an excuse. But the atmosphere was terrible to start the game. Some of it was traffic and people getting off work. That’s not a fan issue. But the student section was half full and taking selfies. Let’s be better.

The good news is that we don’t have to wait through another bye. We will see how this team responds right away. Go Canes.

I think this team can make playoff and has potential to go deeper if we can fix the rushing attack by scheming up different runs, and we can get Lofton, Lyle, and Trader full speed and play healthy with their heads on right. That is my opinion. If this doesn't happen, we may not even win all our last 6 games of season.

One of the frustrating things about Mario is we have to lose to inferior teams before we decide to make changes for the better. Why can't we ever scheme up things to fit our personnel before we run into a bad loss. Yes Lyle is very valuable and if we don't try to scheme up runs to match his style then we are wasting his talent.
 
Last edited:
One thing I'd really like to know - why, pretty much since Miami joined the ACC, does it almost always come out flat for ACC games against anyone other than FSU and occasionally VT? Doesn't matter who the coach is, whether it's Mario, Manny, Richt, Golden, Shannon or Coker. It's the same old ****, other team is sky high and desperate to kick our ***, we're often flat. I don't get it.
 
I sincerely hope that Dawson spends the weekend working on a game plan to beat Stanfords defensive tendencies. Brohm spent two weeks on the plan for Friday’s game. Looked like Dawson spent 2 minutes…. They came into that game assuming they were going to push both LVille’s lines around and had no answer when it didn’t happen.

Use the skill talent on the bench. It’s getting tiresome listening to all the talk about “trust”. What’s trust? Blocking? Guys getting the snaps aren’t doing that well anymore. Let’s see Moore and some of the other backups. Every team going forward will key in Toney and Daniels.

And for god’s sake stop running Lyle into the middle of the line.
I couldn’t help but think some arrogance played into Dawsons game plan. Guy was sniffing his own farts after Tony White’s comments and him torching FSUs corners. “You better be able to cover, and their’s didn’t”. Well, now it’s a reality check going down the stretch. Pretty much no room for error and a blueprint is out on how to at least game plan us. Quick plays to neutralize the DL pass rush. Motion, sweeps to the boundary, and put the LBs in conflict in the passing game with crossers. Couple of trick plays to keep us from getting too aggressive bringing a safety down.

Need more creativity in the run game, point blank period. Don’t care if Dawson calls the screen plays an extension of the run game, sure, it is. We need something more than duo 15-20 times a game.
 
Why is McCoy playing. He’s terrible. Samson has been better and honestly I’d bet Rodriguez would be better also
Ya boy Samson committed an egregious pre-snap penalty to kill a drive. McCoy ain’t perfect but I am more than fine with that dude playing.
 
Back
Top