CanesInSight Big Board (10/10)

There are a lot of interesting percentage changes from the previous update about 2 moths ago.


Changes From Previous Update
Removed S Leroy Clark (Miami not recruiting)
Removed OL Sandley Jean-Felix (committed to FIU)
Removed CB Will Likely (Miami not recruiting)
Added LB Skai Moore
Added DT Toby Johnson
Added DE Al-Quadin Muhammad

Percentage Key
0-10 Extremely Low Chance
15-25 Low Chance
30-40 Decent Chance
45-60 Good Chance
65-75 Great Chance
80-95 Virtual Lock
100 Lock

In parentheses is the expected number that Miami will take at that position.

QB (1)

Kevin Olsen (commit): Olsen hasn't been able to play this season due to a broken foot, but is expected back in the next few weeks.
7/25: 100%
8/13: 100%
10/10: 100%

RB (1)

Alex Collins (commit): Collins visited Wisconsin over the weekend and didn't commit or give any indication that he would, which is a good sign. It is very unlikely he goes back for a visit considering that was his official. He will be at FSU this weekend for a visit, but the Badgers are more of a threat than the 'Noles. I am feeling better about his commitment than I was last week.
7/25: 65%
8/13: 75%
10/10: 80%

AJ Turman: Turman still has some interest, but as long as Collins sticks, the staff won't be pushing hard for him.
7/25: 30%
8/13: 10%
10/10: 5%

WR (1)
Coley is all but off the board and it doesn't look like Cunningham will get a committable offer.

Angelo Jean-Louis (commit): The 2012 signee will be here in January; he’s at Fork Union Military Academy for the season. His commitment has always been strong and the coaches love him. A close source told me he is not even being considered as a DB as some have suspected.
7/25: 100%
8/13: 100%
10/10: 100%

Stacy Coley: Too many issues surrounding Coley for the staff to go all in on him. There would have been a chance to land him, but the coaches feel confident with AJL.
7/25: 15%
8/13: 35%
10/10: 5%

Jordan Cunningham: The U-School receiver doesn't have a committable offer right now and it is highly unlikely he gets one. He would have pulled the trigger a while back if he did. Very good player, but lacks ideal explosiveness.
7/25: 60%
8/13: 65%
10/10: 15%

TE (3)
Miami is more than happy with their current crop of tight end commits and all three are extremely solid. No worries with their level of commitment. ***No changes on any of their level of commitments from the previous update. ***

Travis Johnson (commit): (100%)

Standish Dobard (commit): (100%)

Jeremy Kerr (commit): FSU is starting to show interest in him as an offensive lineman. Their staff has gone to see him play a couple times this year. I still look at him as a tight end because I don't think he has the frame to become a lineman down the line. (100%)

OL (2-3)
Ideally, 3 would be the number at OL, but the options are slim after Kirkland and Gall.

Alex Gall (commit): (100%)

Denver Kirkland: Miami still holds a lead over FSU, but the 'Noles are still in the picture. As of right now, I feel very strong about Miami's chances.
7/25: 55%
8/13: 60%
10/10: 70%

Hunter Knighton: Kehoe offered the New Jersey lineman on the spot at a camp. If Miami really wants him, there is a realistic shot with him.
7/25: NA
8/13: 40%
10/10: 30%

Roderick Johnson: Former UF commitment has expressed interest in Miami, but the staff is not currently recruiting him and he does not have an offer.
7/25: NA
8/13: 15%
10/10: 5%


DT (2-3)
JuCo is a major possibility.

Keith Bryant (commit): After rumors of him possibly switching his commitment to South Carolina over the weekend, we cleared those rumors up yesterday.
7/25: 100%
8/13: 100%
10/10: 100%

Maquedius Bain: Bain mysteriously "dropped" the 'Canes off his list last month. Very weird situation considering he was a near lock before that. He is only playing offensive line for his team right now so I think that might have been a red flag with the Miami staff and caused them to back off.
7/25: 80%
8/13: 85%
10/10: 25%

Jaynard Bostwick: Miami continues to hold a steady lead for Bostwick. UF is the biggest competition right now.
7/25: 60%
8/13: 65%
10/10: 70%
Toby Johnson: The top JuCo DL in the country has maintained that he has interest in Miami and will most likely take a visit after the season. Getting him on campus would be huge, but ultimately I do not see him coming here.
10/10: 15%

Deadrin Senat: The former FSU commit likes Miami a lot, but has not been offered. He could be a realistic option if they can’t land Bostwick or Bain. **No change from previous update**
7/25: 10%
8/13: 10%
10/10: 5%

DE (1)
It's kind of surprising that the staff hasn't made this more of a priority, but it looks like Williams or bust.

Tim Williams: Williams continues to state in interviews that Miami is recruiting him the hardest and that he loves the 'Canes, but I am still being told that it would be a surprise to see him wind up here. His family is adamant about him staying home. the chances are still decent, but he needs to make a visit down to Coral Gables soon because he has canceled multiple times. Remember he has a small child, which could be a big factor in his decision.
7/25: 45%
8/13: 55%
10/10: 45%

Al-Quadin Muhammad: The Don Bosco Prep star has been recruited by Miami since last year and has a good relationship with the staff. The latest buzz with him is that he may be a committing to Notre Dame soon or is close to a done deal.
10/10: 10%


LB (2-3)
Things are looking up at linebacker for this class.

Matthew Thomas: A lot of positive things are happening behind the scenes with Thomas. His mother continues to push Miami on him and he is warming up to the idea of staying home. FSU is still a huge threat, but the 'Canes are in MUCH better position for his services at this point compared to even a month ago.
7/25: 45%
8/13: 40%
10/10: 60%

Jermaine Grace: Things are still steady with Grace in regards to being a huge Miami lean. He will wait out the process in all likelihood.
7/25: 85%
8/13: 90%
10/10: 90%

Quinten James: Does not have a committable offer, but loves Miami. I don't see the staff offering.
7/25: NA
8/13: 25%
10/10: 10%

Mike Parker: The versatile VA product loves Miami and is still in contact with the staff. I see him as a kid that is still a plan B option, but the staff could just decide at any moment that he is worthy of a committable offer. His percentage drops based on the fact that the staff still isn't all in on him.
7/25: 35%
8/13: 45%
10/10: 30%

Skai Moore: The newest addition to the board is a player who I have been extremely impressed by this year. In the first game of the year, he had a pick-6 against Trotwood from Ohio. I went to see him play last week against Chaminade and he was the best defensive player on the field. He is very aggressive and fluid. Size is the only concern, but I personally think he has room to grow. He was in the news today because Ohio State just offered him. I'm not sure what his interest in Miami would be if the 'Canes offered, but I am looking into it. No percentage on him until I get that info.

CB (0-1)
Not a priority after last year's class.
Mackensie Alexander: Many people have asked about the 'Canes' standing with Alexander, but the truth is that the there has not been interest from both sides in months.
7/25: 15%
8/13: 15%
10/10: 5%


S (2)
It looks like 2 could is the final number. Ray Lewis III thinks he will wind up playing safety, so that could slide Burns to corner, which might benefit him.

Artie Burns (commit): Burns is having a good season at MNW. No worries with his commitment.
7/25: 100%
8/13: 100%
10/10: 100%

Jamal Carter (commit): One of the most solid commitments. His Southridge team is disappointing this year. I wish we could see more of him on offense.
7/25: 95%
8/13: 100%
10/10: 100%

ATH
Ray Lewis III (commit): Lewis III thinks he will be a safety, while he says Golden likes him at corner. A lot of options with him, as he could even play running back.
7/25: 100%
8/13: 100%
10/10: 100%

 

Watch the Notre Dame game again and see if you still think that. Their entire offensive gameplan was centered around exploiting Shayon Green... and it resulted in 350 rushing yards. If we had a tougher DE the game would have looked different. The DT's didn't have nearly as much to do with the loss.

I wasn't really thinking too much about an example of a player - but you get what my point is.

I've always been of a mindset that your defense starts with your DTs. You have strong DTs, and you can have average DEs. Not necessarily the other way around.

I'm super thrilled about Bryant and Bostwick. Need one more stud in there and it's an A+ class, especially to complement Ivery and Moore. With DE, however, you have a bunch of JAGS on the roster, even though I'm hoping Ricky Williams can be a surprise for us.

 

Love the positive momentum on Thomas, man we need him and Kirkland. Agree that they must have their eyes on some JUCO DE's if we are only recruiting Tim Williams. How big is Toby Johnson?

 

We have to go all in on Muhammad too. Have to give ND a battle here for him He is the type of player that can be a program changer from the DE position. Best looking highlights and his full game against STA was dynamite. Have to get into NJ again and Al has deep roots there. Imagine he and 6 in this class. One edge setter and one monster pass rusher. He IMO is the top out of state kid we need to be on along with Toby Johnson. Muhammad>Tim Williams at DE.

 

Exactly why Muhammad is the better prospect. Also physically bigger and very quick first step and lateral movement. He is a kid we cannot give up on.

 

I like the thought of Bush, Carter, Burns, Jenkins at S. At the very least that some athleticism that we haven't had back there in a long time.

Still think we need a few more DE, DT, OL but not sure there is much room. I trust Al though.

 

I'd like to add again that Jamal Carter is an absolute STUD and will play from day 1. him and Bush at S is something to be excited about

Word.

And I have a feeling RLIII may suprise some of us.

 

Nick Saban wants Burns and he wanted Deon Bush last year. All I need to know about a DB prospect. CAN'T WAIT!

 

Safety

I like the thought of Bush, Carter, Burns, Jenkins at S. At the very least that some athleticism that we haven't had back there in a long time.

Still think we need a few more DE, DT, OL but not sure there is much room. I trust Al though.

I really hope they put Burns at Corner. I think he'll be the most complete guy out of all the guys we've recruited in the last 2 years.

- Long
- Fluid Hips
- Strong
- Good long speed
- short area burst

He's got everything you would like from a corner in this defense. I think he is grossly undervalued and it's not an accident that Saban was recruiting him. After some weight room time, I think he will compare favorably to a guy like Dee Milliner.

 

Exactly why Muhammad is the better prospect. Also physically bigger and very quick first step and lateral movement. He is a kid we cannot give up on.

Agreed about the not giving up.

I have mentioned it a few times but I feel strongly we will see some big names emerge. Guys are out there looking at us seeing the freshmen play. Maybe they are committed to other schools and keeping quiet but we are definitely not done with just the familiar names. I would bet my fandom on it.

 

So far, Golden has shown a knack for getting kids to flip at the last minute. Thomas Finnie, Antonio Crawford, and Jawan Blue.


Blue was my favorite just because of the VT coach's reaction. "But...but, all your homeboys are here? We play clean football here."

 

****... I'm about to be "that guy"..... but in recruiting really nothing is 100%. 99% lets you save some face later when one of the 100s bails. Just sayin'.

 

I wouldn't mind a future Defensive backfeild looking something like

CB Burns
FS Bush
SS Carter
CB Howard

with a linebacker crew looking something like

Hybrid LB/DE Thomas
Will - Kirby
Mike - Perryman
Sam - Johnson

But it's all about that D line obviously we need Bryant to be the goods along with maybe Bostwick and some of the young guys to step up at D end.

 

Kirby is a Mike and Denzel outside would be ideal. Bryant, Bostwick, and Muhammad are key this year. Must get all 3 and Muhammad I know is a long shot but have to work hard on him. Problem is if these 3 come expectations for them won't be fulfilled until 2015.

That is the problem. Linemen are not meant to play full time roles as freshman as our guys are now like Moore, McCord, etc. Look at Clowney last year. Top recruit in years and basically guaranteed 3 and out kid was situational 20 snap a game player. 6'3" 300 at 18 is not the same 6'3" 300 at 20. A lot of the baby fat is replaced by muscle and explosion especially in the hips, ***, and thighs. That is where strength comes from regarding line play.

This is where Al just has to get numbers right and create the depth. DL is 2nd most important group on a team right behind QB. Just like to MUST recruit 1 QB a year, you MUST recruit at lease 3 DL a year.