what will be um record at the end of the season.

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I think it will be 9-3 tell me if im dreaming.


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OVER/UNDER Vegas books wins for Miami is 7.5-8 for those that care about those things.

Where did you see that? It can't be that high. That sounds like a number from last season.

I haven't seen anybody post the college over/unders yet. A few days ago a guy named Chris Andrews who worked at sportsbooks for a long time posted some projected numbers on his website. That column drew some publicity. He pegs Miami at 5.5.

His method is valid, using projected game spreads and not merely a subjective flail. But my first impression, without doing any work on game spreads, was that 5.5 is too low. The first two games carry favoritism and then there are a string of toss up type games later in the schedule, mixture of home and road. I would expect the actual betting number to be somewhere in between your version and the 5.5. Maybe 6 with juice on the over or 6.5 with level juice or juice on the under.
 
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OVER/UNDER Vegas books wins for Miami is 7.5-8 for those that care about those things.

Where did you see that? It can't be that high. That sounds like a number from last season.

I haven't seen anybody post the college over/unders yet. A few days ago a guy named Chris Andrews who worked at sportsbooks for a long time posted some projected numbers on his website. That column drew some publicity. He pegs Miami at 5.5.

His method is valid, using projected game spreads and not merely a subjective flail. But my first impression, without doing any work on game spreads, was that 5.5 is too low. The first two games carry favoritism and then there are a string of toss up type games later in the schedule, mixture of home and road. I would expect the actual betting number to be somewhere in between your version and the 5.5. Maybe 6 with juice on the over or 6.5 with level juice or juice on the under.

I'm not sure you took 3rd down screen passes into account. Gary.
 
OVER/UNDER Vegas books wins for Miami is 7.5-8 for those that care about those things.

Where did you see that? It can't be that high. That sounds like a number from last season.

I haven't seen anybody post the college over/unders yet. A few days ago a guy named Chris Andrews who worked at sportsbooks for a long time posted some projected numbers on his website. That column drew some publicity. He pegs Miami at 5.5.

His method is valid, using projected game spreads and not merely a subjective flail. But my first impression, without doing any work on game spreads, was that 5.5 is too low. The first two games carry favoritism and then there are a string of toss up type games later in the schedule, mixture of home and road. I would expect the actual betting number to be somewhere in between your version and the 5.5. Maybe 6 with juice on the over or 6.5 with level juice or juice on the under.

Feel free to PM me about the season wins.
 
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OVER/UNDER Vegas books wins for Miami is 7.5-8 for those that care about those things.

Where did you see that? It can't be that high. That sounds like a number from last season.

I haven't seen anybody post the college over/unders yet. A few days ago a guy named Chris Andrews who worked at sportsbooks for a long time posted some projected numbers on his website. That column drew some publicity. He pegs Miami at 5.5.

His method is valid, using projected game spreads and not merely a subjective flail. But my first impression, without doing any work on game spreads, was that 5.5 is too low. The first two games carry favoritism and then there are a string of toss up type games later in the schedule, mixture of home and road. I would expect the actual betting number to be somewhere in between your version and the 5.5. Maybe 6 with juice on the over or 6.5 with level juice or juice on the under.

agreed. no way the O/U is 7.5 or 8

6.5 sounds right. maybe 6
 
This is just a pretend scenario, but I'll give it just for fun.

My version of the 2015 Miami Hurricanes Football Season

BCC -- W. Easy
@FAU -- W. They'll have their largest crowdever. They will be pumped. They will score fast. The game will be over by halftime.
Neb -- W. The game will be close. The new coaching staff blues will bite them. Some play will bounce our way for the home victory. 27-21 type.
@CIN -- W. There place will be rocking! It'll be the biggest game in school history and they'll play like it. Late plays will win us this game.
@FSU -- W. People will think Miami has turned the corner. We'll play with passion and enthusiasm and win one close.
VT -- L. Ugly. All that emotion and close games will wear on us. We will lose and it won't even be close.
Clem -- L. Close. We'll bounce back. We'll be prepared and be winning in the 2nd half. The game will get away from us.
@Duke -- L. Ugh. How will we let it happen? Outcoached. Outschemed. Out-"desired". 41-34 type.
UVA -- W. Al will get the UVA monkey off his back.
@ UNC -- W. There's a reason they didn't play a spring game. UNC is headed in the wrong direction. It won't matter though, because...
GT -- L. A fourth ACC loss will end any delusions of us playing for the ACC championship. It'll be a tough game, but a loss.
@ Pitt -- W. Al will get to 8 wins but it won't be enough to save his job. He'll be fired after the game.

Maybe we win our bowl game and end with 9 wins. Maybe Al is retained and gets to coach 2016. I just think that we'll have too many close emotional wins to sustain excellence. We could win 5. We could win 10. With the staff there is so much missing that would be required to give you a feeling that we'll typically come out prepared and schematically aligned for success. But there's so much talent that you begin to believe that, with the right coaching, these boys have a chance.

8-4

there isnt a chance in **** Alfraud can win 10 games with this team. I doubt he'd win 10 with the 2001 team
 
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Too many Cliques in '14. 12-0 in '15.

I'm getting the WEFENSE tattoo next week.
 
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