The post game win expectancy for UM has to be near or above 90%. Their YPP was 4.76, ours was 7. The defense again held a high output offense from scoring on their critical final possession, for the 3rd week in a row.
We held them to their second lowest yardage total of the season (Clemson being first). The 23 points and 329 yards should’ve resulted in a high 30s-low 40s score.
Instead we had 3 TOs and 2 4th down failures and a missed FG, all of which made the outcome a heck of a lot closer than the game truly was. This was a 10-14 point victory if both teams simply perform as the stats indicated.
That is not to say we didn’t almost lose the game, or that any of the mistakes were excusable, or to not spread blame around. This still ended up feeling like a typical Manny game, where we can’t get out of our own way and dominate an inferior opponent, 100% his legacy. It’s just that in this case we actually did end up statistically dominating them, which was nice.