forums

Transfer Team Rankings

There's an interesting twist comparing the transfer portal verses developing your own players from high school recruiting...

Your high school recruits can leave anytime for a bigger payday and have immediate eligibility.

Meanwhile, get someone from the portal and it's tough for them to portal out because they typically will need to sit for 1 year.

The wiser play in the times of these portal rules is to focus on getting the best portal players over high school recruits. It unfortunately appears to actually be the most stable means of roster management.

I don't like it, but it seems like the most shrewd approach.
 
Advertisement
I’d bet dollars to donuts that this ranking is a predicator of the “majority” of the top twenty five for next years college football season. You’d be hard pressed to find any of the programs listed in the upper tier sleeping on the upcoming season. It speaks volumes to who’s all in and who’s asleep at the wheel.
 
grover said:
It’s going to be an insane few years as things settle out. I think it evens the top programs out tbh. But only the 15-20 who will pony up the money.

85 kids. If the going rate for a 5 star is 500k+ on average and a 4 star 100k+, for the top programs willing to fund that amount across 85 kids that probably 15-20M. A franchise like Bama or A&M will probably need 30+ to retain the roster they’ve got.

At most 20 or so programs will pony up that type of dough. You’ve got the SEC schools but probably only 5-6 once the market clearing price becomes better understood. You’ve got UT, maybe Oklahoma with the oil money, USC, Miami, OSU, Michigan (lower end), maybe ND, maybe a few more years at Oregon while Knight is around. Schools like FSU, Clemson and even UF and Auburn won’t be able to keep up over the long run.

And as you say, the top programs won’t be able to keep kids on the bench since those kids will want to play to keep their NIL pay up and.of course go to the NFL. So Bama and the like will be seeing more churn in both directions as they’d rather pay that Louisville WR the money than a unproductive kid they’d recruited out of high school who is still only potential.

I’m speculating. But it’s almost like a commodities market now more than a draft, as players and programs are being evaluated all year and trading up or down based on market demand. Do we have anyone who does options trading on staff?

Wild ride, no idea where it ends. But as long as Ruiz and the billionaires club continue to fund Miami NIL we have to be just out of the top 5 in terms of budget at this point. And being in So Florida becomes a huge advantage second time around with portal kids.
Click to expand...

Great post. One thing I am sure of, this WILL shake up the same-old-same-old that college football has become.

You will see teams you didn’t expect come out of nowhere, and likewise you will see traditional powers start to decay.

It all comes down to having rich benefactors who have a passion for football willing to hand out NIL’s.

The SEC got to where it is by paying players and getting away with it. It will take time, but the playing field has been leveled.

I said the other day that Miami should never lose another recruit to the Gator and I meant it…although I got downvoted about 20 times for it. The new reality is upon us and frankly speaking, we’re a cut above FSU and UF now when it comes to what we can offer across the board. The same is true for a lot of traditionally successful, rural, broke schools with no NIL support. Not being arrogant, just real….they can’t compete with what we can offer

There will be a changing of the guard, and we’re on the right side of it this time
 
E0AAA68B-6D18-47BC-B804-AFEA0CE21FC0.png


247 finally gave a rating to all of the players transferring to Miami, which moves us up to #9 in the transfer portal rankings. Florida is ranked #30
 
Advertisement
grover said:
It’s going to be an insane few years as things settle out. I think it evens the top programs out tbh. But only the 15-20 who will pony up the money.

85 kids. If the going rate for a 5 star is 500k+ on average and a 4 star 100k+, for the top programs willing to fund that amount across 85 kids that probably 15-20M. A franchise like Bama or A&M will probably need 30+ to retain the roster they’ve got.

At most 20 or so programs will pony up that type of dough. You’ve got the SEC schools but probably only 5-6 once the market clearing price becomes better understood. You’ve got UT, maybe Oklahoma with the oil money, USC, Miami, OSU, Michigan (lower end), maybe ND, maybe a few more years at Oregon while Knight is around. Schools like FSU, Clemson and even UF and Auburn won’t be able to keep up over the long run.

And as you say, the top programs won’t be able to keep kids on the bench since those kids will want to play to keep their NIL pay up and.of course go to the NFL. So Bama and the like will be seeing more churn in both directions as they’d rather pay that Louisville WR the money than a unproductive kid they’d recruited out of high school who is still only potential.

I’m speculating. But it’s almost like a commodities market now more than a draft, as players and programs are being evaluated all year and trading up or down based on market demand. Do we have anyone who does options trading on staff?

Wild ride, no idea where it ends. But as long as Ruiz and the billionaires club continue to fund Miami NIL we have to be just out of the top 5 in terms of budget at this point. And being in So Florida becomes a huge advantage second time around with portal kids.
Click to expand...
I think that you are being conservative. Within 15 years there will be a school playing in excess of $100M per year to players.
 
DTP said:
How many teams do you think had a chance to compete before? Just this last season, two of the four playoff teams got destroyed in their first round games. I’ll take 8-12 teams competing over 2 teams competing.
Click to expand...
As long as only one team is consistently winning titles.

1651108894395.png
 
Advertisement
Advertisement
Back
Top