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MEGA There’s Still Hope for the ACCCG/CFB Playoffs Mega Merge Thread

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Yoyo423 said:
All state playoff predictor dropped our chances as an at large from 40% to 20% after the show last night.
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Of course. The committee showed their hand. They will avoid the head to head comparison at all cost. So we need someone ahead of us to lose on rivalry weekend cause they don’t punish conference championship attendance. Pulling up to right next to Notre dame was our only hope.

Now the hope rests with Charlotte
 
brock said:
Bama has one of the worst losses in the top 25 especially in the top 15 vs fsu. Plus have another Oklahoma lost and looked shaky in other games(South Carolina 3 point win vs mizzou who was without their starting qb)
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The committee evaluates SEC/B1G teams differently than everyone else. They look at wins, not losses. The eye test also doesn’t matter for them. Everyone else gets dinged hard for their losses, and the eye test, especially late season, counts for a lot.

Remember last year when Bama laid a late season egg at Oklahoma for their 3rd loss and people were still lobbying for them to get in? It’s because they had some “good” wins during the year so the losses didn’t matter. Because the conference is seen as a “gauntlet”, pretty much every loss is forgiven.

That’s why Texas and/or Michigan are real threats to get in if they pull upsets this weekend.
 
Ashevegas Cane said:
With the final weekend upon is is there even a slight chance we find our way to ACCCG or should I enjoy this Pitt game knowing it isn't an option?
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Duke loses to Wake Forest is definitely possible
UVA losing to VTech is possible based on a rivalry if the Hokies want to destroy their rivals season.

that's it. win against Pitt and both those happen we play SMU.
 
305407cane said:
Of course. The committee showed their hand. They will avoid the head to head comparison at all cost. So we need someone ahead of us to lose on rivalry weekend cause they don’t punish conference championship attendance. Pulling up to right next to Notre dame was our only hope.

Now the hope rests with Charlotte
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This is simply not true.

There will be a vote after conference championships. I GUARANTEE there will be movement. GUARANTEE.
 
Calinative said:
These are the only metrics that matter:

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Are you sure other metrics don't matter more?

This is alice in wonderland through the looking glass stuff. We played. We won. They lost. I get what you're saying those metrics are the ones that matter to the committee, and we are cooked if we don't get help, but it's still completely absurd.
 
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Calinative said:
These people talking about this are so ******* stupid. Oh yeah Miami and and SOR are 12 and 15… wow so ******* far apart you’d think we were in different universes. Okay so if ND is 12 SOR why do they rank 9? Lmao. Oh man ND is 5th in efficiency…. How come they didn’t say what Miami ranks? Perhaps because it’s likely still top 10!

We are very similar resumes. When that happens our H2H should be all that matters . Period
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Anyone expecting honesty and consistency from the CFP Chairman or certain ESPN talking heads...should seek medical attention immediately...
 
LMCane said:
Duke loses to Wake Forest is definitely possible
UVA losing to VTech is possible based on a rivalry if the Hokies want to destroy their rivals season.

that's it. win against Pitt and both those happen we play SMU.
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Wake will beat Manny's Duke
VT players playing to impress Franklin's will beat UVa. UVa is a flawed team
 
NosniknoT said:
Dont see how if Miami beats Pitt. BYU would have to lose also. If they make it to big 12 game with 1 loss and lose in big 12 championship they will get in over Miami. So would Texas tech If they lost to BYU in big 12 title game
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Wrong. Completely wrong.

There will be a re-rank after conference championships, and there WILL be movement.
 
AUcane said:
The committee has already said they won’t penalize teams for being in conf games. IMO the only way it could help us is if one of those conf games is a blowout but that is unlikely.

We need help THIS weekend.
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You really don't understand their use of the word "penalize".

They are NOT going to roll out the same rankings two weeks in a row. It's not going to happen like that. There WILL be movement post-championship-games.
 
RozayCane said:
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Ari makes a point here that I haven't heard anywhere else - he essentially said that Notre Dame's strength of schedule metrics are being propped up by teams that they LOST to. Hypothetically, if a team played top 25 teams every game on their schedule and lost every single one, they'd have the #1 SOS metric in the nation.

And of course, this is all to say that these teams played already and we got a result. Miami won. You have to earn your way into the playoff and if it comes down to Miami vs. Notre Dame, Miami has EARNED the spot.
 
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Ya gotta love it when porsters selectively believe certain things the CFP Committee says.

We have AMPLE EVIDENCE that the routinely ignore guidelines such as "head-to-head results" and "comparing teams in the same pod" and "valuing quality wins more than quality losses".

And in spite of all those lies, some gullible porsters are going to keep telling us that the CFP Committee "won't penalize" teams that lose conference championship games.

**** that, they do it every year.

Now, they won't disqualify the loser of Ohio Taint vs. Indiana. Agreed.

But for teams in the bubble-pods (9-12 and 13-16), they will absolutely shuffle teams around based on winning or losing a conference championship game.
 
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ML1492 said:
Ari makes a point here that I haven't heard anywhere else - he essentially said that Notre Dame's strength of schedule metrics are being propped up by teams that they LOST to. Hypothetically, if a team played top 25 teams every game on their schedule and lost every single one, they'd have the #1 SOS metric in the nation.

And of course, this is all to say that these teams played already and we got a result. Miami won. You have to earn your way into the playoff and if it comes down to Miami vs. Notre Dame, Miami has EARNED the spot.
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By this standard, the #1 team in the country is The Gator.
 
Guys, Bama is in unless they lose to Auburn & we are out unless there is pure chaos. Please stop. You know in your hearts we are drawing **** near close to dead.
 
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