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MEGA There’s Still Hope for the ACCCG/CFB Playoffs Mega Merge Thread

Our defense held ND to ridiculously low yardage. Their superstar was rendered useless. The score was not indicative of the beating we gave them thanks to Mario ball
 
we've moved up 5 spots in 2 weeks. were getting in if we win out. the committee wants us to earn it. keep playing like you did against NCSU over the next 2 weeks, and you'll be an at large on the road for a playoff game.

also, a reason why Mario needs to stop turtling in games (ND). style points matter.
 
hoops156 said:
we've moved up 5 spots in 2 weeks. were getting in if we win out. the committee wants us to earn it. keep playing like you did against NCSU over the next 2 weeks, and you'll be an at large on the road for a playoff game.

also, a reason why Mario needs to stop turtling in games (ND). style points matter.
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Where we drinking this morning? I'm down.
 
407cane said:
I’m not sure how we jump Utah

There’s no reason to be behind them right now, they play two cupcakes so they won’t stumble

bYU looks good but could maybe lose to Cincy next week

The most likely thing to happen is Oklahoma losing one game which wouldn’t be enough for us

USC beating Oregon is probably bad for us

I don’t think bama loses to auburn

So it literally comes down to Oklahoma losing a game and hoping they BYU does and even then we’re 11 and not in unless they flip us and ND
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Us jumping Vandy is what makes me think we jump Utah if we repeat the performance from last Saturday. I don’t think us thumping teams will have us jumping multiple teams per week if they aren’t losing.

Now we are next to Utah, you compare our resume to theirs, it’s better. Even with the losses. Maybe I’m wrong and being a homer. That’s just how I’m reading it.
 
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aelmiami said:
Us jumping Vandy is what makes me think we jump Utah if we repeat the performance from last Saturday. I don’t think us thumping teams will have us jumping multiple teams per week if they aren’t losing.

Now we are next to Utah, you compare our resume to theirs, it’s better. Even with the losses. Maybe I’m wrong and being a homer. That’s just how I’m reading it.
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We can get to #11 by winning out. We cannot get to #10 without someone losing. Bama, or OU. Oregon is in that mix too. But we can pass BYU if/when they get throttled by Texas Tech. And IMO we can pass Utah too if we both win out and finish 10-2, even though I understand that doesn't make a ton of sense since they're ahead of us now. But I think when it's time to fully solidify things, they can and will jump Miami ahead. So that gets us to #11. But we're stuck there. We're not passing Alabama, Notre Dame, or Oklahoma without one of them losing.
 
So who are we rooting for this weekend? Can someone give us a guide? Also, style points matter, we need to beat VT by 30.
 
We have a good AD that will continue to lobby. The challenger here is not ND, it's the fringe teams from weaker conferences. Give it time. But ultimately, we need to WAX the next two opponents. And I mean by 30 points.
 
Ziggy said:
So who are we rooting for this weekend? Can someone give us a guide? Also, style points matter, we need to beat VT by 30.
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Cincy(BYU), Kansas State(Utah) and Missouri(Oklahoma). Probably Oregon. They’d eliminate USC.

For the ACC Pitt(GT), Louisville (SMU), UNC(Duke)
 
Ziggy said:
So who are we rooting for this weekend? Can someone give us a guide? Also, style points matter, we need to beat VT by 30.
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Mizzou over OU
Mizzou over OU
Mizzou over OU
Mizzou over OU
Repeat this about 700 times.

The game is at noon, same time as our game. This is BY FAR the biggest game next weekend for us.

You also want to root for Cincy over BYU at 8:00, but this isn't as important because I think BYU will lose to Texas Tech in the Big 12 champ game and drop out. You can also root for Kansas State over Utah at 4:00, but good luck with that, Utah is a 17.5 point favorite.

But it's all about Mizzou over OU at noon. This is really the only one that matters. OU or Bama MUST lose a game for us to get in. Bama plays a high school team this week, so it's only Mizzou over OU for this week. Next week OU plays LSU, and Bama is in the Iron Bowl.
 
Glow said:






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Strength of Schedule, Quality Wins, and all these are such biased POS metrics. It's predicated on the media's preseason bias with who they WANT to be ranked, not who should actually be ranked. And then you get arguments like this that are the epitome of circular logic and idiots go nuts over them because they reinforce their biases, and round and round we go.

ESPN is ruining my favorite sport, and it's killing me.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
We can get to #11 by winning out. We cannot get to #10 without someone losing. Bama, or OU. Oregon is in that mix too. But we can pass BYU if/when they get throttled by Texas Tech. And IMO we can pass Utah too if we both win out and finish 10-2, even though I understand that doesn't make a ton of sense since they're ahead of us now. But I think when it's time to fully solidify things, they can and will jump Miami ahead. So that gets us to #11. But we're stuck there. We're not passing Alabama, Notre Dame, or Oklahoma without one of them losing.
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I agree. I think there’s a very easy path to 11. We need something silly to happen to someone above us. BYU & OU have tough games. Cincy still has an outside chance at the Big 12 title game. So they will throw everything at BYU. OU coming off an emotional game, Pribula coming back(possibly), you could see either of those going the other way.

My thing with Bama is what happens to them if they lose the SECCG. Do they penalize them for losing that game? What if they play UGA again and UGA dismantles them? Does the last thing we see of Bama getting railroaded make them drop? Had SMU gotten blown out and not lost a nailbiter to Clemson they probably miss it last season. My worry is they’d keep Bama in since Bama missed it last season in that exact scenario.
 
Wake_Cane said:
There are 512 combinations of final standings possible once GT and Pitt have played. If GT wins, we advance to the ACCCG in 0 of those scenarios. If Pitt wins, we advance to ACCCG in 286 of them. So GT wins = We are done for the ACCCG, Pitt wins = we advance in 56% of the remaining scenarios.

Keep in mind my script locks Miami winning for both of our remaining games, because it reduces the # of scenarios that need to be computed and we know we're toast if we don't win out anyway.
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That 56% is just based on win/lose, and does not take into consideration the odds (projected win percentage) of each game, correct?
 
aelmiami said:
I agree. I think there’s a very easy path to 11. We need something silly to happen to someone above us. BYU & OU have tough games. Cincy still has an outside chance at the Big 12 title game. So they will throw everything at BYU. OU coming off an emotional game, Pribula coming back(possibly), you could see either of those going the other way.

My thing with Bama is what happens to them if they lose the SECCG. Do they penalize them for losing that game? What if they play UGA again and UGA dismantles them? Does the last thing we see of Bama getting railroaded make them drop? Had SMU gotten blown out and not lost a nailbiter to Clemson they probably miss it last season. My worry is they’d keep Bama in since Bama missed it last season in that exact scenario.
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Hadn’t thought of that. Very interesting question. Does Bama get into the SECCG if A&M loses to Texas?

Yeah, if they get in, and get boatraced, do they drop out? My gut says no but that’s a tough one to sell. Let’s say they’re #10 going into that game and you lose 31-17. You just stay #10? Yeahhhhhhh, idk.
 
OrangeBowlMagic said:
Hadn’t thought of that. Very interesting question. Does Bama get into the SECCG if A&M loses to Texas?

Yeah, if they get in, and get boatraced, do they drop out? My gut says no but that’s a tough one to sell. Let’s say they’re #10 going into that game and you lose 31-17. You just stay #10? Yeahhhhhhh, idk.
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They are in with a win over Auburn. If they lose UGA gets in. If Ole Miss, Alabama win and TAMU loses its UGA vs Bama.

But them losing to an undefeated TAMU wouldn’t help us imo. They’d have to lose pretty handily to UGA for it help us I’d think. Ole Miss can make it as well but for that to happen Bama has to lose to Auburn. Making all of this a moot point in relation to us getting in.

The other variable is if BYU wins out they make the Bug 12 title game. If we jump Utah BYU would’ve played one CFP team x2 in TT. Does a team who’s lost the only times it played a CFP get in over us who’s beaten a CFP team in ND? Obviously this is factoring in someone else losing above us. And us jumping Utah.
 
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