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MEGA There’s Still Hope for the ACCCG/CFB Playoffs Mega Merge Thread

The pungent fog of estrogen toxicity has permeated CIS today.

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OrangeBowlMagic said:
I also expect our Louisville loss to continue to look worse.

Miller Moss likely back today, but ALL FOUR scholarship backs the have are out, they’re starting a true freshman walk-on at RB, but no worries, Brohm is smart and he’ll just throw. What’s that? Oh Chris Bell is out and Caulin Lacy is iffy at best. LOL.

Kentucky is down to +1.5.
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But the SMU loss keeps looking better.

If they win today they could be top 20 and will be ACCCG bound. If they win out they could be a top 15 team (and top 11 for the playoffs).

Of course once the "lost to 2 unranked teams" narrative went out the window on Tuesday, nobody acknowledged it.
 
Here’s the deal guys based on money line odds of a couple days ago and the vast majority of acc scenarios essentially parlays as a path to acc championship games OR the chance of 2 of 4 teams losing on at large side that at least have potential to then fall behind Miami (alabama, byu, Oregon- yes, Oklahoma) so that you’re not counting on a notre dame head to head or counting on championship week byu loss:

Canes win
- and one of acc scenarios- 22.5% chance
And/or
- any 2 of the 4 to lose - 29%

Total chances for canes to either make acc and play in or make at large rankings to 10 and be “safe” with 2 losses locked in ahead of them using probability math then equals around 45% chance today if MIAMI wins first (you don’t just add both the others for reasons you too can use ai to explain)
 
Thinking a 3-lossTexas would jump us if we win is ridiculous.

I’m starting to feel confident about Today’s game, we’re not a 2 touchdown favorite ……
 
Ispyin said:
Here’s the deal guys based on money line odds of a couple days ago and the vast majority of acc scenarios essentially parlays as a path to acc championship games OR the chance of 2 of 4 teams losing on at large side that at least have potential to then fall behind Miami (alabama, byu, Oregon- yes, Oklahoma) so that you’re not counting on a notre dame head to head or counting on championship week byu loss:

Canes win
- and one of acc scenarios- 22.5% chance
And/or
- any 2 of the 4 to lose - 29%

Total chances for canes to either make acc and play in or make at large rankings to 10 and be “safe” with 2 losses locked in ahead of them using probability math then equals around 45% chance today if MIAMI wins first (you don’t just add both the others for reasons you too can use ai to explain)
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We are +300 at DK to make the playoff. That has all the ingredients baked in. ACC chance, us winning, teams ahead losing, etc.

That’s a 25% chance. Remember, we control a good bit of that. That +300 includes us having to win.

IMO if we win today, that number will be closer to +200, which is a 33.3% chance.

Still very much alive. Take care of business today and see what happens.
 
MovingZen said:
What craziness do we need to play smu in the acccg? Is there a path for that?
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Not really crazy. There’s a ton of scenarios but the cleanest is UVA loss and Duke Loss. Duke plays 8-3 Wake, and UVA plays VT, which they are 1-19 against the last 20 meetings
 
FL Cane said:
Not really crazy. There’s a ton of scenarios but the cleanest is UVA loss and Duke Loss. Duke plays 8-3 Wake, and UVA plays VT, which they are 1-19 against the last 20 meetings
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Thank you bro.. that's what I'll root for today. That game is the one that ****ed me off the most and I'd like some Miami get back.
 
Looking forward to how the committee explains themselves after the next update. They're contradicting themselves depending on their bias.

Should be Miami Alabama texas byu in that order after BYU loses again. If conf champ doesn't hurt, then BYU has to be higher than texas imo.

Texas has a similar argument to ourselves, but has a terrible loss vs a common opponent and a worse record. Bama has a common opponent vs texas where Texas got blown out. We have FSU over bama. Then you get into the whole week one and mid season bull****. They're gonna contradict themselves.

I personally don't think anythings changed for us. Need bama, Oregon, etc. to lose today for help at large. Need the ACC help other wise.
 
Feel free to neg if it’s been mentioned several times.

But is it at all true that if we win and Duke loses, we’re in regardless of the other outcomes?
 
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