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CFLCane said:
@Cryptical Envelopment

A few questions answered. Mostly positive. I'm posting a new model to include full dilution of all outstanding warrants and options. (there should only be 10 million or so shares not in circulation after Mondays deadline)

http://www.metalsnews.com/Metals+Ne...Exploring+and+Developing+the+Worlds+Poten.htm

Positives

* Up 18% since mention

*The first 5 wells projected @ 50m quarterly revenue by the VP would dial in our average sale @ 1450 MCF (This was in the range i predicted and much higher than the investor presentation that sandbagged the value @ crude prices of 280 MCF)

*60-70 ONLINE wells projected, not 60-70 attempts (each well only cost 500k, capex not an issue here)

*Full dilution 80 million shares (only potential reason for further dilution I could see is large land purchases/leases to expand past 70 wells, they have a large cash position with revenues coming online soon)

*Their target consumers have agreed to haul their own helium reducing capex.

*Well #4 started yesterday, results around 10 days or so. This will be the current deepest well and other rare earth gasses are expected.


Negatives

*4th QTR start of full production may be delayed by permitting


Well CountMCF BASISAnnual Revenue Per WellTotal RevenueRevenue 3xRevenue 7xOutstanding sharesShare Price w/3x MultipleShare Price w/7x Multiple
702758,942,000625,940,0001,877,820,0004,381,580,00079,400,000$23.65$55.18
602758,942,000536,520,0001,609,560,0003,755,640,00079,400,000$20.27$47.30
502758,942,000447,100,0001,341,300,0003,129,700,00079,400,000$16.89$39.42
402758,942,000357,680,0001,073,040,0002,503,760,00079,400,000$13.51$31.53
7055017,884,0001,251,880,0003,755,640,0008,763,160,00079,400,000$47.30$110.37
6055017,884,0001,073,040,0003,219,120,0007,511,280,00079,400,000$40.54$94.60
5055017,884,000894,200,0002,682,600,0006,259,400,00079,400,000$33.79$78.83
4055017,884,000715,360,0002,146,080,0005,007,520,00079,400,000$27.03$63.07
70110035,768,0002,503,760,0007,511,280,00017,526,320,00079,400,000$94.60$220.73
60110035,768,0002,146,080,0006,438,240,00015,022,560,00079,400,000$81.09$189.20
50110035,768,0001,788,400,0005,365,200,00012,518,800,00079,400,000$67.57$157.67
40110035,768,0001,430,720,0004,292,160,00010,015,040,00079,400,000$54.06$126.13
70160052,025,6003,641,792,00010,925,376,00025,492,544,00079,400,000$137.60$321.06
60160052,025,6003,121,536,0009,364,608,00021,850,752,00079,400,000$117.94$275.20
50160052,025,6002,601,280,0007,803,840,00018,208,960,00079,400,000$98.29$229.33
40160052,025,6002,081,024,0006,243,072,00014,567,168,00079,400,000$78.63$183.47
70210068,283,6004,779,852,00014,339,556,00033,458,964,00079,400,000$180.60$421.40
60210068,283,6004,097,016,00012,291,048,00028,679,112,00079,400,000$154.80$361.20
50210068,283,6003,414,180,00010,242,540,00023,899,260,00079,400,000$129.00$301.00
40210068,283,6002,731,344,0008,194,032,00019,119,408,00079,400,000$103.20$240.80
70260084,541,6005,917,912,00017,753,736,00041,425,384,00079,400,000$223.60$521.73
60260084,541,6005,072,496,00015,217,488,00035,507,472,00079,400,000$191.66$447.20
50260084,541,6004,227,080,00012,681,240,00029,589,560,00079,400,000$159.71$372.66
40260084,541,6003,381,664,00010,144,992,00023,671,648,00079,400,000$127.77$298.13
703100100,799,6007,055,972,00021,167,916,00049,391,804,00079,400,000$266.60$622.06
603100100,799,6006,047,976,00018,143,928,00042,335,832,00079,400,000$228.51$533.20
503100100,799,6005,039,980,00015,119,940,00035,279,860,00079,400,000$190.43$444.33
403100100,799,6004,031,984,00012,095,952,00028,223,888,00079,400,000$152.34$355.46
Click to expand...

Bought more at 3.39 today.
 
Cribby said:
Why you downvote my amc and gme dude? I’ve made more money off those two than **** near all my stocks combined lol.
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Because they are **** companies that are being propped up by manipulation and the whole meme stock thing is a f'ing joke to me. There is no value and the bottom could drop out at any time. The risk is insane, its a casino visit, not an investment. When it ends, many will be ruined. So I am downvoting the entire concept, not you. Happy you made coin, though. Results matter.
 
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Cryptical Envelopment said:
Because they are **** companies that are being propped up by manipulation and the whole meme stock thing is a f'ing joke to me. There is no value and the bottom could drop out at any time. The risk is insane, its a casino visit, not an investment. When it ends, many will be ruined. So I am downvoting the entire concept, not you. Happy you made coin, though. Results matter.
Click to expand...
These two stocks have helped shine a light on the ****ery , corruptness of the market / hedge funds and what they’ve been doing forever. The rabbit just had the gun the last year, not the other way around. The game was flipped on the ones normally controlling the game.

I disagree about gme. Gambling on e-sports , getting rid of the brick and mortar store and going fully e commerce is big. They won’t be going away. Are they overvalued ? Yes but far from dead.

So regardless I think more positive has come from their run than negative.
 
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Cribby said:
These two stocks have helped shine a light on the ****ery , corruptness of the market / hedge funds and what they’ve been doing forever. The rabbit just had the gun the last year, not the other way around. The game was flipped on the ones normally controlling the game.

I disagree about gme. Gambling on e-sports , getting rid of the brick and mortar store and going fully e commerce is big. They won’t be going away. Are they overvalued ? Yes but far from dead.

So regardless I think more positive has come from their run than negative.
Click to expand...

I get it all. And I love how the shorts got evicerated. But these companies are worth a small fraction of what they are trading at. Just waiting for the falling knife.


As for the optimism on these companies, I really think that's a deliberate attempt to leave breadcrumbs by a lot of key players to try to create evidence that they actually believe in these turds, as opposed to deliberately trying to manipulate the market. Make your money, get out, and don't drink the kool-aid. My 2 cents.

Edit: Ohhhh, we can say ****ery here without the filter catching it? Exciting!
 
Kjdcanefan said:
Did a lot of research since our last crypto talk. Glad I got into eth at 1400. Holding some Cardano, Chainlink, Cartesi, XRP and ALGO as well. The market looks a lot more bullish than it did last week and before.
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Nice. I actually moved some of my BTC into ETH during the carnage to increase my stake. I am also a big LINK fan and holder. And LUNA and CELO as you guys know. I have a series A investment in a foreign blockchain project that has a relationship with CELO that has allowed me to learn a lot about what they are up to, and I like what I hear.
 
Cryptical Envelopment said:
Because they are **** companies that are being propped up by manipulation and the whole meme stock thing is a f'ing joke to me. There is no value and the bottom could drop out at any time. The risk is insane, its a casino visit, not an investment. When it ends, many will be ruined. So I am downvoting the entire concept, not you. Happy you made coin, though. Results matter.
Click to expand...

You just described crypto.
 
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Go Canes!! said:
Bitcoin just went from $65k to $30k in three weeks because Elon Musk among others manipulated it, intentionally or not.
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Well, no. Elon did not take BTC from 65k to 30k. If you think that was even 10% of why it corrected, I'd suggest you dig deeper. Also, the difference is that BTC will be worth a lot more than it's current price IMO. ETH, maybe even more. And it will make sense. And some of the functional projects like LINK, LUNA, and CELO have their best days ahead of them. This is emerging tech.

Also, it was 64k to 32k in 5 weeks. :) And those were spikes and dips. We are really taking about 59k to 38k or so. It's the Wild West for sure, but so was all of California once.

AMC and GME are retail garbage cans.
 
Will be interesting to see what happens to the meme’s and doge etc when people actually have to go back to work, pay their rent, not get free stimmy every couple months.

when you’re getting free money at the casino, it’s easy to bet it all without any concern for losing it. Not as easy when it’s your rent money and evictions are back on the table.
 
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