I think Norvell's exceeded expectations, albeit they were low to begin with, especially considering the dumpster fire that was his first two years at the helm. They surprised a lot of people this past year, and Travis made huge strides as a passer. I don't think anybody thought they'd end up 10-3. However, like us in 2017, they had a lot of lucky bounces and breaks in getting to that result. He'll consistently win them 7-8 games a year, with the occasional 9-10 win season when the transfer portal hits work out.
Their biggest issue with long-term success will be recruiting. On average (he's had three full classes at FSU) his class is ranked #19. Nowhere near good enough to get to the level they want to be at. Doesn't help that Mario and even Napier are better recruiters than he is. Their bet seems to be that more wins and good transfer classes will = better HS recruiting, but it hasn't panned out yet. Imho, you either have it as a recruiter or don't. For whatever reason, he doesn't have it.