Tears Nole Tears (“Offcial”)

I know of an alum with plenty of head coaching experience and a knowledge* of recruiting in South Florida…

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*knowledge does not mean or imply actual skill. At times he may be a little too shy to talk to high end players, but at least there are skittles breaks during practice!
Leaving Duke for FSU would be a downgrade
 
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They actually have a very easy schedule. That doesn't mean their record will be great, they'll have to definitely improve to show anything additional in the W/L column, but they will have a chance to win more games if they're just slightly better.

Last year they played Miami (10 wins), Clemson (ACC Champ), SMU (ACC Runner-Up), Notre Dame (National Runner Up), Memphis (11 wins), UiF (8 wins), Duke (9 wins), GT (7 wins)...all bowl teams with 7+ wins, and then BC, UNC, Cal, and a cupcake (Charleston Southern). Not the hardest schedule ever, obviously, but there are a good number of good football teams there.

This year, they obviously retain Miami, UiF, and Clemson, all 3 teams they'll be pretty decent dogs to. And they add Alabama, who they are almost 2 TD underdogs to. But they don't play ND. They don't play Memphis. They don't play SMU. They don't play Duke.

I think they have 4 games that are close to assumed losses. It's college football, so you never know, but I think it'll be pretty surprising to see them beat any of Miami, UiF, Clemson, or Alabama. But the other 8.....they might be favored in all 8 if they're improved as a team. East Texas A&M and Kent State at home, and then their other 6 FBS games are Wake, VT (at Doak), UVA, Stanford, Pitt (at Doak), and NC State. That's about as easy as a run-out in the ACC as you can have.

I think their absolute, absolute ceiling is 8-4. There is no way they win more than 8 games. But there is a chance they get 8, albeit very small. There is zero chance they get to 9.

And I think their floor is probably 4-8. They're going to beat whatever East Texas A&M is, and Kent State. And I think they'll win at least a couple of that group of Stanford, UVA, Wake, etc.

9-3 0.00%
8-4 5%
7-5 25%
6-6 33%
5-7 25%
4-8 10%
3-9 2%
2-10 0.001%
2-10 0.001% = 128th of 134..

We thought the same thing last year and fswho said
Say What Oh Hell No GIF by Robert E Blackmon
 
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2-10 0.001% = 128th of 134..

We thought the same thing last year and fswho said
Say What Oh Hell No GIF by Robert E Blackmon

Hahahah this wasn't lost on me when I did it.

HOWEVER, they only played one high school team last year. They have 2 this year. As much as I'd love to see it, Kent State isn't beating them. So they have 2 already in the bag. They'll win 1 more. But if not, feel free to come back here and we can all laugh at how embarrassing they are.
 
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