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Tears Nole Tears (“Offcial”)

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JHallCanes said:
A team that’s broke locked into an absolutely absurd head coaching contract definitely won’t be competing for minimum 5-6 years
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Soonest they’ll be competitive is probably 2028, at earliest. 2025 isn’t looking good, roster could be worse than last year’s. 2026 is probably Norvell’s last year, gets fired at the end if things go sideways. Still have to pay a chunk for his buyout and staff. Hire a new coach. 2027 is a rebuilding year, unless they get a massive cash infusion and clear out the portal. 2028 with a good class and portal haul could be decent.
 
FL Cane said:
Soonest they’ll be competitive is probably 2028, at earliest. 2025 isn’t looking good, roster could be worse than last year’s. 2026 is probably Norvell’s last year, gets fired at the end if things go sideways. Still have to pay a chunk for his buyout and staff. Hire a new coach. 2027 is a rebuilding year, unless they get a massive cash infusion and clear out the portal. 2028 with a good class and portal haul could be decent.
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I think we’ve seen this movie before up close

They’re gonna have to go cheap and hire some alum that hasn’t earned a head coaching job yet to try and help recruit and hope they get lucky
 
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JHallCanes said:
I think we’ve seen this movie before up close

They’re gonna have to go cheap and hire some alum that hasn’t earned a head coaching job yet to try and help recruit and hope they get lucky
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I know of an alum with plenty of head coaching experience and a knowledge* of recruiting in South Florida…

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*knowledge does not mean or imply actual skill. At times he may be a little too shy to talk to high end players, but at least there are skittles breaks during practice!
 
Number1CanesFan said:
I think 7-5 is the ceiling and 5-7 a likely floor.

There's too many variables to know precisely how good or bad they will be. On paper, they didn't add much. QB could be the X factor from 7-5 to 5-7.

A fun fact. If FSU has another losing season in 2025, they'll have 6 losing seasons in the last 8 years. FSU can miss me with 13-1.
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Man if 7-5 is the ceiling, the floor ain't 5-7...
 
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DTP said:
FSU sucks so bad recruits don’t even want to take courtesy visits just for the free trip. “Nah, I’m cool, Mike. I’m just going to stay home this weekend and play PlayStation.”
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Ever been to Tallahassee? No reason to go for a courtesy or any othwr husiness.
 
They actually have a very easy schedule. That doesn't mean their record will be great, they'll have to definitely improve to show anything additional in the W/L column, but they will have a chance to win more games if they're just slightly better.

Last year they played Miami (10 wins), Clemson (ACC Champ), SMU (ACC Runner-Up), Notre Dame (National Runner Up), Memphis (11 wins), UiF (8 wins), Duke (9 wins), GT (7 wins)...all bowl teams with 7+ wins, and then BC, UNC, Cal, and a cupcake (Charleston Southern). Not the hardest schedule ever, obviously, but there are a good number of good football teams there.

This year, they obviously retain Miami, UiF, and Clemson, all 3 teams they'll be pretty decent dogs to. And they add Alabama, who they are almost 2 TD underdogs to. But they don't play ND. They don't play Memphis. They don't play SMU. They don't play Duke.

I think they have 4 games that are close to assumed losses. It's college football, so you never know, but I think it'll be pretty surprising to see them beat any of Miami, UiF, Clemson, or Alabama. But the other 8.....they might be favored in all 8 if they're improved as a team. East Texas A&M and Kent State at home, and then their other 6 FBS games are Wake, VT (at Doak), UVA, Stanford, Pitt (at Doak), and NC State. That's about as easy as a run-out in the ACC as you can have.

I think their absolute, absolute ceiling is 8-4. There is no way they win more than 8 games. But there is a chance they get 8, albeit very small. There is zero chance they get to 9.

And I think their floor is probably 4-8. They're going to beat whatever East Texas A&M is, and Kent State. And I think they'll win at least a couple of that group of Stanford, UVA, Wake, etc.

9-3 0.00%
8-4 5%
7-5 25%
6-6 33%
5-7 25%
4-8 10%
3-9 2%
2-10 0.001%
 
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