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Tears Nole Tears (“Offcial”)

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canenok said:
Beta move! Dugans has no juice on the trail and his coaching is underwhelming! Brown visiting that dumpster fire tells me everything thing I need to know about him. I understand why CBs choose Bama and Georgia. I understand why QBs like Lincoln Riley…. But Brown is just plain running out of town. Give me two of Keem, Andy, and/or Fowles (alphas)! Good riddance!
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I don’t get what’s wrong with him going to FSU for a visit? He’s already committed to LSU, he’s probably going for the scratch.

FSU is desperate just to even get decent commits on campus, even if they have no chance of signing them.

They’re probably paying some decent coin for a quicky overnight trip.
 
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Liberty City El said:
As objective as I can possibly be:

Vs Duquesne - W
@ LSU (in New Orleans) - L
@ Louisville - L
Vs BC - W
Vs Wake Forest - L
Vs Clemson - L
Vs GTech - W
@ Miami - L
@ Syracuse - L
Vs ULL - W
Vs UF - L

I’m got’em going 4-8, with a possibility to be 5-7 or 6-6 at best.

There’s no objective metric that can be measured that can possibly predict them to get 8 wins.

In terms of odds & probability it’s not impossible, they’d have to play well above their means or any capability that they’ve shown thus far in the Norvell era, but the odds of that are very very very very very very low...
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100,
they can flip a couple of Ws or a couple of Ls,
But washes out the same. I can’t see more than 6 dubs on that schedule max.
 
I like what they’ve done on the OL with Atkins but we saw last year first hand what happens to a defense that was slightly above average loses a dominant pass rusher and a solid robin.

QB is injury prone and questionable. Defense will regress. Mini Mike doesn’t have the depth or talent to win 8 games. There’re a couple key injuries away from 4-8, 5-7. I think they win 6 max 7 games
 
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What’s their over/under in Vegas? Like 6.5 right? Taking the over there is a huge leap of faith.

There’s maybe two “sure thing wins” on their schedule. Duquesne and Georgia Tech. ULL is a g5 team and their staff is in Gainesville now but they were still 13-1 last year. They are not a roll over win for an FSU team who loses to FCS programs.

The stretch of Louisville, BC and Wake is going to make or break their season. Win 2/3 and a 6 or 7 win season is possible. Lose 2/3 or worse, They’re done and Norvell will be out at the end of the year. I do think this is the first time in a while they have a shot against the gator. It’s not an automatic L for them this year
 
HurricanePhilly said:
6-7. Beat UF to get Bowl Eligible then lose to Washington State in the El Paso bowl. But it’s progress so they give him an extra year as a show of faith (window dressing).
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This is more or less the realistic dream scenario, except they do a 2-year extension (maybe even 3) to send the message to recruits that Norvell is F$U's coach.
 
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cway313 said:
Are we sure they beat Duquesne?
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Leonardo Dicaprio Kinda GIF
 
Caned Peach said:
Leonardo Dicaprio Kinda GIF
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Let’s be real, if you’re Duquesne’s coaching staff and you are watching this film, you definitely have this marked as a possible dogfight and win if luck bounces your way. Their players should be easy to get amped up for this. Now, because of their recent history, FSU’s players should be looking at this game as a possible win if a few bounces go their way. They SHOULD be able to get amped up for this game.
 
DTP said:
What’s their over/under in Vegas? Like 6.5 right? Taking the over there is a huge leap of faith.

There’s maybe two “sure thing wins” on their schedule. Duquesne and Georgia Tech. ULL is a g5 team and their staff is in Gainesville now but they were still 13-1 last year. They are not a roll over win for an FSU team who loses to FCS programs.

The stretch of Louisville, BC and Wake is going to make or break their season. Win 2/3 and a 6 or 7 win season is possible. Lose 2/3 or worse, They’re done and Norvell will be out at the end of the year. I do think this is the first time in a while they have a shot against the gator. It’s not an automatic L for them this year
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Yes, DraftKings currently has the total at 6.5, with -135 juice on over and +115 on the under.

FSU was actually a good bit better in 2021 than they were in 2020, but jesus they couldn't have been worse.

They'll be massive favorites against Duquesne, pretty sizeable favorites against Louisiana, and then decent favorites against BC, GT, and probably Wake. I think 6.5 is a pretty decent line for them, but I'm sure as **** not laying -135 on the over. Not a chance in ****. Even if you give them 5-0 vs the 5 teams I mentioned (which is still pretty unlikely), then that means they'd need to go 2-5 or better against:

LSU in Nola
@ Louisville
@ Miami
@ NC State
@ Syracuse
Clemson
Florida

It's doable, but they'd have to have some bounces go their way. And I think 8-4 is probably their absolute ceiling. They are not getting to 9 wins. They're not going 4-3 against the teams above.
 
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