- Joined
- May 14, 2016
- Messages
- 33,449
Vs Va Tech gave up 495yds, 314yds rushing
Vs UNC gave up 578yds, 326yds rushing
Vs Wake Forest gave up 385yds, 149yds rushing
Defense:
They also gave up 411yds passing vs Pitt, 323yds passing vs UVA & 129yds rushing vs Duke.
They're 76th in Total Defense, 76th vs the pass & 69th in Run Defense, giving up 4.33 yards per carry & giving up 5.62 yards per play. 30th in 3rd down Defense & 45th in Red Zone Defense with a 81% conversion rate. 74th in scoring Defense.
19th in Sacks with 19, 22nd in TFL's with 47, 36th in pass efficiency defense, 30th in INT's & 45th in turnovers.
They give up 447.5 yards per game, allow 34.2 points per game, 265.5yds passing & 182yds rushing per game.
Best Defensive performers:
- LB Payton Wilson, 53tcks 5.5TFL's 2INT's 1.5 sacks & 1PBU (Had 18tcks vs Duke)
- LB Drake Thomas, 46tcks 6.5TFL's & 2 sacks
- SS Jakeen Harris, 43tcks 1TFL & 2PBU's
- LB Isaiah Moore, 41tcks 4.5TFL's & 1.5 sacks
- CB Cecil Powell, 27tcks 2TFL's & 3PBU's
- CB Shyheim Battle, 24tcks 1TFL 1 sack 1INT & 5PBU's
- DE Terrell Dawkins, 19tcks 6TFL's & 3 sacks
- FS Tanner Ingle, 19tcks 1TFL & 2PBU's
- NB Tyler Baker-Williams, 18tcks 1.5TFL's 1 sack & 3PBU's
- LB Vi Jones, 14tcks 1.5TFL's 1 sack & 1PBU
- S Devan Boykin, 14tcks 1TFL & 2PBU's
- NB Joshua Pierre-Louis, 14tcks
- NT Alim McNeill, 12tcks 4TFL's 1 sack 1INT (pick 6), 1FF & 1FR
- DE Daniel Joseph, 12tcks 4TFL's & 4 sacks
- CB Malik Dunlap, 12tcks 1TFL 1 sack & 5PBU's
They had a 31yd run vs Wake Forest, a 37yd & 51yd run vs Va Tech, a 23yd run vs Duke & a 27yd run along with 4 runs that went for over 15+ yards vs UNC. Simply put, their Run Defense is susceptible to getting gashed on the edge if you can bounce on the outside & get to the 2nd level of the Defense.
The weakness of this Defense is their LB corps is not very strong, they play a 3-3-5 & their Weakside backer Payton Wilson & Mike Backer Isaiah Moore are the most active in terms of being multi use backers that both drop back in coverage & Blitz the pocket. Their Sam backer Drake Thomas is basically just another Edge, they use him primarily to rush the passer & collapse the pocket.
Their DL isn't strong in Run Defense, they do a pretty good job getting sacks, Daniel Joseph, Terrell Dawkins (who's a 6'4 235lbs that gets after it) & Savion Jackson are their top 3 DE's & on the interior Alim McNeill is disruptive Run stuffing Nose Tackle, he was a 4-star kid coming out of HS & he's been playing his best football this year, he has a 85 PFF grade, Gaynor & Clark will have their hands full.
In their secondary they got True Sophomore CB Cecil Powell a Lauderdale Lakes kid former Florida Fire DB that went to Boyd Anderson & Piper. Red Frosh CB Shyheim Battle 6'2 185lbs big bodied physical corner with 5PBU's. They also have Red Soph Malik Dunlap is a big Boundary Corner, he's 6'4 220lbs & has 5PBU's on the season & because they play a 3-3-5 they use multiple Nickels in Tyler Baker-Williams who's a 6'0 200lbs converted WR coming out of HS, Joshua Pierre-Louis (from Palm Beach Gardens, went to the Benjamin school) & Devan Boykin who's a Nickel CB/S.
Their starting Safeties are Tanner Ingle an Orlando kid from Dr. Phillips, he had missed time due being in the concussion protocol but is back starting for this game & Jakeen Harris who is their Rover Safety.
They've had a bunch of injuries throughout the year so a lot of their DB's have gotten starts & reps, they rotate different guys so they end up playing more than usual amount of DB's. As an overall unit they do a good job in Pass efficiency Defense, they can cover but they're not really great either. You can stretch the field on them with the Deep ball, but once again it comes down to our WR's actually being able to separate & make plays down the field. They'll follow the same formula as other Defenses have in playing Press man on the outside & daring us to beat them deep. They'll drop 6 & 7 in coverage & try to force King into throwing into multiple Zone looks.
This game for us offensively will come down to Miami running the ball on the outside & creating mismatches with their LB's in coverage. With Brevin back & Mallory as well, this should be a big game for the TE's. At WR, they're going to put one of their Nickels on Harley & not let him run free like UVA did, so either Pope or whichever WR is available will have to win their matchups on the outside. I think Lashlee will lean heavy on the screen game, try to get the ball to Knighton in the passing game & run some Wide Trips formations & split some of the Zone coverages we'll see.
This can be the perfect game for King to run the ball on scrambles & get outside of the pocket while throwing the ball, because I don't see them aimlessly Blitzing too heavy, they'll sit back in Zone which will give King some opportunities to Run & throw the ball at the last second after forcing a LB or DB to decide if they're going to come up to close out on him running or stay back & cover.
I think we should spread the field horizontally with 4/5-wide sets while going Tempo, work the TE's for big chunk yard plays & make some throws to the RB's out of the backfield.
Offense:
Ranked 60th in Total offense, 31st in Passing, 74th in rushing averaging 392.8 yards per game. 42nd in scoring averaging 31.5ppg, 67th in 3rd down offense with only a 38% conversion rate, but are 6-8 on 4th down with a 75% conversion rate. They've given up 15 sacks on the season & 8 INT's
Best Offensive performers:
- QB Bailey Hockman, 531yds 3TD's & 4INT's at 58.6%cmp
- WR Emeka Emezie, 23rec 370yds & 3TD's
- WR Devin Carter, 13rec 243yds & 1TD
- WR Thayer Thomas, 15rec 205yds & 1TD
- TE Cary Angeline, 12rec 185yds & 5TD's
- RB Zonovan Knight, 406yds & 3TD's rushing & 12rec 106yds receiving
- RB Ricky Person, 335yds & 3TD's rushing & 9rec 59yds receiving
- WR Porter Brooks, 12rec 144yds
Junior QB Bailey Hockman will get the start. He's thrown 55 passes on 1st & 2nd down, the majority of his passes come on 1st down, NC St likes to create 3rd & short situations so they can hand the ball off on 3rd downs, they're a throw to setup the run style offense with Hockman at the helm. He's very inaccurate & turnover prone, which means they're going to dink & dunk the ball as much as possible. Expect screens, RPO heavy & lots of targets to the TE.
At WR, their best weapon is Senior WR 6'3 220lbs Emeka Emezie. He's got great hands & is averaging 16.1 yards per catch, he's their Flanker & they throw the ball to him mainly on 2nd down in between the 40's, when the ball is midfield they throw it to him on Deep routes. Because they line him up at Z, he will mostly face Ivey this game, I would move Al Blades around & have him follow him all game, but I know we won't do that lol.
True Sophomore WR Devin Carter is 6'4 216lbs, he plays X, he averages 18.7 yards per catch, his the big body Deep ball WR that they throw jump balls to, he's not really a speedster, he just wins with his size & boxing out DB's. Blades will mainly have this matchup, just play him physical & don't let him get behind you.
Thayer Thomas 6'0 195lbs is their Slot WR, they throw to him a majority of the time on 1st downs, he's a short area Slot with good speed, he gets in & out of his breaks with quickness & an explosive player. He also can throw the ball well... Why does it matter if he can throw? Because they used him on multiple trick plays last year where he threw the ball on 5 WR pass plays for 2TD's (the QB throws him the ball on what looks like a Bubble screen, but then he throws it to another WR either streaking from the same Bunch stacked formation or a WR on the other side of the field running free after the Defense has bitten down on defending against the Slot screen). This season he's already thrown it twice. The Defense better be on alert for this trick play with Thayer, especially given Hockman being such a terrible passer himself, they'll be pulling out all the stops & 30-40yd WR pass play would be an easy TD if weMre not prepared for it. Coach Baker, if I noticed this then you better have too!
Their TE Cary Angeline is a big 6'7 250lbs who they throw to a lot in the Red Zone 10 of his 12 catches on the season have come in the Red Zone. For whatever reason Miami never accounts for the TE so expect him to get his number called early & often, much like UVA's TE Tony Poljan, they're gonna use him in the middle of the field & feed him in the Red Zone, put Bolden or Frierson on him & do not let this kid get in a groove.
Their RB's are pretty good, the duo of Zonovan Knight & Ricky Person are very solid, Knight is 5'11 206 & Ricky is 6'1 215lbs, they're both big physical backs who don't go down on first contact. As a team NC St is only averaging 3.6 yards per carry, but Knight is at 5.9ypc & Person is at 4.6ypc. Run Defense will need to show up to stop these 2. Tackling will need to be a premium this game (as it is for every game obviously).
Their OL is solid at OT, their LT True Soph Ikem Ekwonu was a Freshman All-American last year & is touted as one of the best OT's in the ACC. They have a Red Frosh LG, but the rest of the line are all veterans.
Overall NC ST's offense is good when Devin Leary is starting, with Hockman they're not good at all & can be turnover prone. What we need to do is Bing heavy pressure upfront & get Hockman behind schedule & off rhythm. They'll be expecting us to Blitz them like crazy because of their QB situation, but due to their OL not being as bad as FSU's or Pitt's I think we should only bring the front 4 with an occasional Blitzer while dropping extra defenders & forcing Hockman to throw into tight windows. I know we won't do that lol, but I think just Blitzing insanely won't be as effective against a solid OL.
The key to this game will be causing turnovers & getting an early lead, we score early & put our foot on the gas & we'll walk out with the W. Cannot get down on the road on a Friday night.
Another big X-factor in this game will be who is available to play. It's still unknown exactly who is out with Covid, so that could wind up playing a huge part in terms of depth depending on how many are out & exactly at which spots.
As long as we have most of our starters on both sides of the ball I think we should still win, where we can't afford to have any Covid outs is at OL, CB & RB. But even with that said (barring mass Covid sits at crucial positions);
I got Miami for the win 31-17.
