While I'd bet that fat black colonel Sanders dude plays more of a role in his life, their assistant Sam Petito is considered his "mentor". And while yes he was committed to Richt at UGA, he originally committed while his mentor was on Richts staff. And I believe even after Richt was fired he remained committed...but the day after Petito went to Alabama Smith decommitted...At leas thats what I think happened.
So you combine that with the fact that Bama will pay premium $$$, and its looking like FSU is a real player for Ruggs (the other WR Bama was gunna get) and it's clear why they've been the leader. However, his mom heavily favors LSU, while his dad doesn't really care much.
But even then it comes down to his mentor, and the fact that when asked who he'd compare himself to his first two answers are Julio Jones and Amari Cooper. So yeah.
And obviously not visiting Miami is basically all we really need to know. Right now I'd give us less than a 5% chance. If we get him this staff deserves so much ******* credit its not even funny.