Miami prediction - Josh Pate

[TboneJones]

UGA 2011-15 before Kirby

A healthy Richt was **** good. Much better than Diaz.

 

[caneingville]

Exactly. Some can’t accept that Georgia isn’t what they were some years ago and we aren’t what we were some years ago.

Well, Kirby Smart had a **** of a lot of recruiting advantages as well. His late father had quite a setup for him, and we would all love a state legislature to change laws to allow things to be a little easier for us too. Must be nice.

 

[nickster]

I don’t think Miami is at a higher level; I just think we’re actually pretty equal.

We are not at Georgia's level. Look what happened last year. We folded at the end and had the easiest schedule a team could have.

 

[caneingville]

We are not at Georgia's level. Look what happened last year. We folded at the end and had the easiest schedule a team could have.

That doesn’t disprove that UGA and Miami are equal right now.

 

[fatnasty187]

My apologies friend.

I'm having heavy flow days over porsters losing their minds.

****, I was thinking why the **** am I catching bullets playing around. You're good .

 

[hurricaneman]

He brings up very good points and is probably being generous.

8 straight weeks of games is difficult for any elite roster, let alone a rebuilding one. For context, Clemson's 2d bye is 25 Oct.

Except for last year, how many seasons since 2001 has Miami matched the end of season record with the expected pre-season record?

Zero.

That is also a factor that needs to be considered in tbe body of work.

They need to blow out Stanford and treat it as a bye week.

 

[Kn[]_[]ckles3o5]

I know what you’re saying but referring to Cam as a 1 star QB says a lot about you and what you believe. It sounds like you’ve projected the limits you’ve placed on yourself to others like Mario and Cam get
I never saw an LSU defense as bad as when Jayden Daniels won the Heisman. I think units bottoming out at elite football schools might be a result of the portal and NIL with guys leaving when they’re backups instead of staying, paying dues, and growing into a starting role.

1* as in 1st overall pick and the board agrees Brian Kelly is a pos corch

 

[ddann]

6-6 low end

9-3 Pate

11-1high end

Of course all scenarios above are possible, but what is tbe most realistic given all the data we have to make an informed guesstimate?

The most realistic is 9-4.

Because Beck opts out of the Cheetos Bowl to get ready for the draft.

 

[BALLHAWKU]

No lies spoken

I agree with every thing accost the 1 posssesoij games. Dawson needs to keep foot on throttle .

 

[Cane30]

The starting talent is not even comparable to anything the last 15 years. Only last year on O is comparable. Right now our 2nd string should beat any other team in the ACC outside of Clemson. That **** sure hasn't been the case ever, in our ACC membership. Our QB for the 2nd straight year, is light years better than anyone we have had in the 2000's. Again, all ACC schools beside Miami and Clemson were plucked apart by transfer outs that won't stop. We have 8 home games. We play in state the 1st 8 games. This is not the same program of the last 20 years. Their is no excuse that can be made for losing to inferior talent right now, except coaching. Everyone expects the same old because 1, they haven't done a deep dive on our roster the last 18 years and they don't believe in Mario. Mario didn't need to say, look at the draft in 22. I have looked at our terrible drafts for 17 years to know we never had the talent our fanbase proclaimed. We have had 7 #1's and 5 #2's in 17 years, thank you portal. I personally believe this team should go undefeated in the regular season outside of a Beck injury. Should! We have to see it, but I believe this D staff is killing it. Heatherman is what Mario has been missing. Even though this is all true, I am still scared proclaiming all of this, coaching, coaching, coaching! Did I mention, coaching?

 

[RF-4CCane]

We don't leave the state of Florida for 8 games so that is a schedule positive.

Also VT stinks so dont think that game is that tough, but Pittsburgh will be good this season. The cold doesnt concern me that is overplayed, Miami is 6-1 in their last 7 trips to Pittsburgh. We actually play very well there.

How many of those games at Pitt were the last week of November though? Just curious.

I do think our offense is better built for a cold weather game than in the past though.

 

[Empirical Cane]

Won the SEC last year, more than Miami has even done in the past 20 years while in the ACC

Let’s check in on the betting odds for this season

Acting like UGA is the Gaytors is hilarious

“UgA hAs FaLlEn OFf”

View attachment 331999

Crazy talk.

You need to understand Maimi hasn't lived up to pre-season fairy tales since forever, but this is the year.

Just like it was last year, and the year before, and the year before that.

Ya know players and corches being different and all that. Production from key positions in critical scenarios that have moved on? Only grande vajayjays worry about that shizznizzle.

Seriously, for reals this time.

Trust me, I know.!

 

[CaneDog66]

His computer model spit out 9-3 as the most likely outcome but Pate provided the caveat of the model not considering the impact of a new/upgrade DC and portal talent.

Thanks. Its sorta like he can win either way; we falter against expectations and he can say his 9-3 prediction holds true. Go 10-2/11-1 and he can downplay it with the model not considering the impact of Heatherman and the portal additions. Weak if you ask me, if you have a prediction say, and stand by it. With that said, I’m hitting the over.

 

[Empirical Cane]

Thanks. Its sorta like he can win either way; we falter against expectations and he can say his 9-3 prediction holds true. Go 10-2/11-1 and he can downplay it with the model not considering the impact of Heatherman and the portal additions. Weak if you ask me, if you have a prediction say, and stand by it. With that said, I’m hitting the over.

Just curious, what should he have said to reach the CaneDog66 standard?

What more conviction would meet your criteria?

 

[Calinative]

That prediction range is entirely useless. The more interesting part is that the midpoint was just over 9 games. So either 9 or 10. This board would be okay with 10 if it meant we made the playoffs. But would MELT DOWN at 9 since we almost certainly don't make the playoffs in that case. So essentially 1 game probably determines how everyone on here will feel about Mario.

We can't lose 2 ACC Regular season games. Simple as that

 

[section9]

Beck will be fine, so will our offense, primarily because our OL has matured.

The key to the season is Heatherman. If he becomes our version of Brent Venables, then Mario's hit the jackpot, at least until Heatherman goes to the NFL in a couple of years. If this guy is a Defensive Assassin, we can go anywhere we want in the playoffs.

I think our defense is going to be the big story this season, not Beck, because Beck is expected to be good.

 

[OrangeBowlMagic]

The starting talent is not even comparable to anything the last 15 years. Only last year on O is comparable. Right now our 2nd string should beat any other team in the ACC outside of Clemson. That **** sure hasn't been the case ever, in our ACC membership. Our QB for the 2nd straight year, is light years better than anyone we have had in the 2000's. Again, all ACC schools beside Miami and Clemson were plucked apart by transfer outs that won't stop. We have 8 home games. We play in state the 1st 8 games. This is not the same program of the last 20 years. Their is no excuse that can be made for losing to inferior talent right now, except coaching. Everyone expects the same old because 1, they haven't done a deep dive on our roster the last 18 years and they don't believe in Mario. Mario didn't need to say, look at the draft in 22. I have looked at our terrible drafts for 17 years to know we never had the talent our fanbase proclaimed. We have had 7 #1's and 5 #2's in 17 years, thank you portal. I personally believe this team should go undefeated in the regular season outside of a Beck injury. Should! We have to see it, but I believe this D staff is killing it. Heatherman is what Mario has been missing. Even though this is all true, I am still scared proclaiming all of this, coaching, coaching, coaching! Did I mention, coaching?

Be careful with **** like this. I don’t really agree but that’s not the point, when you say stuff like this to people who have zero ability to think critically, you have an insurrection on your hands if we lose one game or **** even struggle to win.

Winning games is VERY hard. Taint lost, at home, as a 21 point favorite to Michigan. Who sucked. **** happens in football. So we’re not likely to win every game but I do agree somewhat with the talent discussion. Time to win.

 

[E1k]

That prediction range is entirely useless. The more interesting part is that the midpoint was just over 9 games. So either 9 or 10. This board would be okay with 10 if it meant we made the playoffs. But would MELT DOWN at 9 since we almost certainly don't make the playoffs in that case. So essentially 1 game probably determines how everyone on here will feel about Mario.

Which is stupid lol

 

[E1k]

The most likely scenarios are:

1) 9-3;
2) 8-4 or 10-2;
4) 11-1;
5) 7-5.

I see over 10 wins and under 8 wins as very unlikely scenarios.

Im here but id flip 4 & 5

 

[Empirical Cane]

We can't lose 2 ACC Regular season games. Simple as that

I'm not certain a 2-loss Miami* team gets invited to CFPO at all. B1G and SEC, I believe, are going to try and assert their dominance over the selection process this season and basically tell everyone, "so what *******".

Before any ***aloon(s) start with their bat**** hystrionics with mental equivalency of a toddler's meltdown, give me some space as I'm hungover.



Really hungover.


*Any ACC team unless ACC Champ happens to have to Ls