ok - so him leaving doesn't really do us anything in regards to an additional spot this year since we already had 7 and I don't think we can hit our roster cap with the amount of scholarships that we are able to give out?
Yes, it helps us.
We were sitting on 22 ICs (we used 3 for guys who enrolled in August 2021). We can take as many as 29, assuming that 7 guys leave via the Portal. We will still have to get down to 85, which may likely involve more than 7 guys leaving, or some combination thereof. For instance, a guy could retire from football, and not even enter the Portal. That would help us on qualifiers (85) but not ICs (22-29 max).
I'm just going to trust Mario at this point, I'm sure he knows a lot more about who is likely to leave than any of the CIS posters do. We'll get down to 85. There has not been a single year that we have failed to do so.
And, in all honesty, I don't even think we'll get up to the full 29, even assuming that we could have done so. I just don't think there is enough remaining "quality" that Mario wants to bring in.
We have 14 HS commits. Let's say we get Conerly, and we are up to 15 signees. Right now, we have 5 transfers. So that is 20 guys. We would need to take 9 more guys from the Portal to hit our theoretical max of 29, and I just don't think Mario wants to use 9 ICs on guys with less than full eligibility remaining. I suspect that Mario will roll some ICs over to the 2023 cycle.
Now, if the replacement ICs are "use it or lose it", then maybe we load up.