Off-Topic Hurricane Season

[SpikeUM]

The saving grace for South Florida might be that the really bad weather is lopsided to the North.

@JD08 , you though.......

 

[JD08]

The saving grace for South Florida might be that the really bad weather is lopsided to the North.

@JD08 , you though.......

The NHC model is pretty far south. I'm hopeful it keeps trending north. The majority of models seem to point that way.

 

[SpikeUM]

The NHC model is pretty far south. I'm hopeful it keeps trending north. The majority of models seem to point that way.

View attachment 214317

Which of those is the Euro?

 

[CaneDawgCrew]

The NHC model is pretty far south. I'm hopeful it keeps trending north. The majority of models seem to point that way.

View attachment 214317

Glad I didn’t replace the roof yet.

 

[JD08]

Which of those is the Euro?

It doesn't look like it's on there.

Live storm tracker: See Nicole's path

Florida Storm Tracker and Model Mixer: Active Storms in Atlantic

data.tallahassee.com

 

[SpikeUM]

The Euro looks to be about the same as the official forecast, maybe even a tad south.

 

[JD08]

The Euro looks to be about the same as the official forecast, maybe even a tad south.

View attachment 214323

It will depend on how fast that high pressure system gets out of the way.

 

[OriginalCanesCanesCanes]

The NHC model is pretty far south. I'm hopeful it keeps trending north. The majority of models seem to point that way.

View attachment 214317

I remember this from a few years ago so I don’t even know if it holds up today, but supposedly aren’t the European models the most accurate?

 

[SWFLHurricane]

I remember this from a few years ago so I don’t even know if it holds up today, but supposedly aren’t the European models the most accurate?

Pretty Much...

 

[JD08]

I remember this from a few years ago so I don’t even know if it holds up today, but supposedly aren’t the European models the most accurate?

Yup.

 

[OriginalCanesCanesCanes]

Does anybody have access or a screenshot of the European model?

 

[PanteraCanes]

Does anybody have access or a screenshot of the European model?

 

[SpikeUM]

Does anybody have access or a screenshot of the European model?

I did one above, pretty close to the NHC's cone

 

[JD08]

Does anybody have access or a screenshot of the European model?

Tropicaltidbits.com or hurricanecity.com are usually good sources.

 

[JD08]

It looks like its predicted path is shifting north. This is the European model 57 hours from now.

And the composite spaghettis showing the NHC predicted path.

 

[OriginalCanesCanesCanes]

It looks like its predicted path is shifting north. This is the European model 57 hours from now.

View attachment 214405

And the composite spaghettis showing the NHC predicted path.

View attachment 214406

Looks like landfall is around Port Fierce or Vero? Or is it north of that?

 

[JD08]

Looks like landfall is around Port Fierce or Vero? Or is it north of that?

Right now, it looks like Palm Bay between Sebastian and Melbourne.

 

[OriginalCanesCanesCanes]

Right now, it looks like Palm Bay between Sebastian and Melbourne.

That’s further north than I thought.

I think one of the things we have to keep in mind Is that this thing is really moving fast, it seems to be anyway, so that by this time tomorrow we’ll be a lot more confident about where it’s going, and it’ll be over by Thursday night at least for those of us on the FL East Coast.

 

[SpikeUM]

That’s further north than I thought.

I think one of the things we have to keep in mind Is that this thing is really moving fast, it seems to be anyway, so that by this time tomorrow we’ll be a lot more confident about where it’s going, and it’ll be over by Thursday night at least for those of us on the FL East Coast.

The NHC moved the eye to Ft Pierce area, Accuweather still has it going to Palm Bay.

 

[OriginalCanesCanesCanes]

The NHC moved the eye to Ft Pierce area, Accuweather still has it going to Palm Bay.

So it looks like it jogged south a little bit?