- Joined
- Nov 6, 2011
- Messages
- 6,213
You just signed a top-50 QB. The odds he stays have never been lower
To better understand the ROI of QB recruiting, let’s examine four recruiting classes and see how many QBs succeeded where they signed.
theathletic.com
"The Athletic studied the careers of the top 50 high school quarterbacks who signed with FBS programs in the recruiting classes of 2017 through 2020. More than 70 percent have transferred during their time in college."
"Based on these recent classes, if a top-50 QB signee doesn’t start one game in his first two years on campus, there’s an 87 percent chance he’ll end up leaving the program. But among the quarterbacks who did earn a start in their first two years, more than 60 percent still ended up transferring during their careers."
"But 27 of the top 50 have already transferred, including five of the top 10: Ewers, Williams, Sam Huard, Jake Garcia and Jaxson Dart. Many more could enter the portal in May if spring competitions don’t go their way. That’s just how it goes now for young quarterbacks trying to make it in this era of college football: start or depart."